paweather

9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I’m feeling good about at least a dusting for most of us after the front. Some lucky spots could get a little more.

I’m kinda in between about post frontal snow. I hope so!

13 minutes ago, Ruin said:

Rgem isn't that accurate right

It will wash away if it happens 

46 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Only 44 hours out what could go wrong 

5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

NWS Buffalo talking about "paralyzing blizzard" in their area later this week - this area is already over 100" for the season. They're in line for multiple feet of snow along with winds up to 70mph. 

Just give me a quarter of that I would be happy. 

2 minutes ago, Festus said:

I have relatives who moved from here to northern Wyoming last year (what were they thinking?).  Their forecast low is -28 Wednesday night and a Wind Chill Warning with values down to -50.  It's cool to experience weather extremes but, um, no.

LOL. Yep the snow extreme yes the temp extremes NO. 

Very colorful:

8 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Super late nooners....41.  Mentioning because that is a pretty healthy 20 degree rise from this AM. 

I forgot again  38 and sunny. 

5 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

the MJO is also my favorite tellie.  This MJO demonstrates to  me how the pac ocean is performing which IMHO is the main driver of most of our weather.  A MJO of 4-6 is telling me that the thread the needle storm events are our only chance of a good snowstorm as the pattern really is dogging it for KU storms.  Relying on a -NAO or -AO is too much reliance for me when hoping for a major winter storm to appear out of nowhere.

My philosophy has always been what latitude the storm hits the west coast is approximately where it will exit on the east coast. Before we had a dozen weather models/tellies, that was the main driver of longer than 5 day forecasting with some sort of accuracy. Yes, there was a hiccup, when a secondary low forms of the SE coast or another one forms in the GOM but coincidentally that is when we get hammered here with a major storm. As I said before, Miller A's out of the GOM have been extremely rare in the last 5-10 years. Until we see the trough dig down toward Texas or a hallmark bench low  forms and come out of the 4 corners area, we are screwed for decent snow events here.  Until I see LR range 10-15 day models come in with these scenarios, I will be very skeptical of any snow events for us.  This thread the needle crap for each winter storm event is becoming very tiresome indeed for everyone.

Miller A's have really become non-existence. Everything is typically a Miller B and depending upon where the transfer occurs it is the key to a B. But we don't really fair out to where either with a B. And there are hardly any clipper systems anymore.  We used to have a ton of those in the past winters but no more. 

4 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

saw that and only thing I'll add at this juncture, is that as the trough is starting to lift out at that timeframe, that a more norther correction isnt off the table IMO.  

We cant continue this run of cutter/suppression/cutter/suppression.  At some point something has to hit us.  

 

and while this post has some potential truth to it...........

 

ground truth is I'm wishcasting hard.....troll away.

I'm always wishcasting! LOL. 

CMC has the coastal back next week but misses us good trends though.

11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Here is the GFS 24 hour map as of Saturday 7AM (snow from 7AM Friday).  The scattered nature of it makes it a bit questionable. 

 

That would be nice!

8 minutes ago, anotherman said:

What about on the backend?

Backend:

Blizzard conditions out in the Midwest this week. 

Just now, canderson said:

Poor guy - it an awful place. Ask @MillvilleWx haha 

LOL. I’ll have to long time client I didn’t mind it there other than the smell of manure 

13 minutes ago, canderson said:

Our Friday temp difference will be wild. 

But not as wild as Houston, Texas on Thursday! High of 71, low of 19. High in Amarillo that day is 16. 

Geezus I had a client in Amarillo. 

22 minutes ago, canderson said:

Digital snow is better than no snow. And since we get very little actual snow now might as well enjoy the digital variety. 

Is digital snow better than canderson winds? 

23 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Every pro Met & quality poster on here & across the internet weather universe was fired up about the potential of this pattern.

It didn’t materialize as snow for many of our yards, so what do some posters do….?

They belittle posters & forecasters that were fired up over a great looking pattern that usually delivers 9 times out of 10…

They of course knew all along it would fail….so why did everyone waste their time looking at all of the potential?
Why were pro forecasters salivating & woofing over this pattern potential…

The naysayers answer… Don’t post about patterns in the 10 to 15 day range….heck 5 to 7 days is too long for some…too much potential disappointment to possibly handle…

Lol…. I guess I’ll just start looking out the window instead of looking at everything else…!!!!!

 

 

I don’t care if we get no snow we need you to keep posting anything any maps etc. 

6 minutes ago, pawatch said:

Your doing an awesome job!!

Winter just isn’t cooperating with you. 

Keep on posting.

100% agree!!!! 

7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Lol, after reading the posts on here this morning, I’m not sure if I’m allowed to post about future patterns or storm chances outside of 1 day?

it sounds like a few people want to turn this into a glorified Obs thread.

Heck and I canceled winter already 

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Lol, after reading the posts on here this morning, I’m not sure if I’m allowed to post about future patterns or storm chances outside of 1 day?

it sounds like a few people want to turn this into a glorified Obs thread.

Always post Blizz don’t worry about that feedback 

@Blizzard of 93when is our next tracking event I would like to uncancel winter. 

Another snowless year geezus I am giving up winter canceled. 

5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

EC has some frozen in true Central PA Thursday afternoon....rain for the LSV and LV

Not much in terms of post Frontal snow though. 

Should be a wild Friday rain, the canderson winds, and snow

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

33 and Partly cloudy here. 

Good deal I'm full deck of clouds.