paweather

Biggest 0z model run of this winter 

Just now, Voyager said:

Almost...

Buckeye is about 10 miles southwest of where I live.

Haha come back and live in the LSV your attraction to Mother Nature and the snow weather gods please 

7 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

According to the handbook in Chapter 2, section 3, paragraph 1….

Hug the model that shows the most snow for your own yard!

Yes, I have recently bashed the GFS, especially in the medium & long range. The short range can’t be discounted. I am also giving it credit for consistency with this storm for days.

I’m all in with chapter two

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I honestly think that will end up being pretty close. Time will tell. 

Yeah it’s likely 

Yuck!

Just now, Ruin said:

with the shift 50 miles or so with the snow more north glad I didnt get excited. All I want is a few back to back snow storms nothing to big is that to much to ask to have snow on the ground for a month?

Your asking for a lot 

Going with the GFS Euro train! 

@Blizzard of 93Can you give us any hope!? 

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

In all seriousness - I feel like the NAM map that our good friend @Mount Joy Snowman posted is often how the rain/snow line works with storms....what starts out as "MIGHT mix with sleet/freezing rain for a time" in Lancaster often ends up with the mix line into southern NY state. 

Watching the pretty colors steadily migrate north with this system reminds me of that. 

Anything that comes to us from our west is a problem and this winter has been all cutters thus far and it looks like it will continue. 

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

 

What you posted is for 10am, correct?

If so - it's not snowing where we live...

Right on the doorstep

Decent:

RAP and HRRR snowing by 10am. 

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

No Euro on Pivotal. 

Yeah what the heck!!!!!

RAP looks like it will be a hit 

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Rants are totally understandable. I was on the edge yesterday myself. 

This isn't just to/for you, but to everyone really - it's interesting to me how personal perception can change day by day. Yesterday, I was surly, negative, and almost ready to be confrontational, really. This winter had me at my breaking point. I was genuinely upset over the weather.

Today? New day. Weather hasn't changed much, if anything the outlook has gotten even more bleak. But I'm okay with that today. It is what it is...nothing I can do to change it. My mindset today is almost to make fun of the situation and just have fun with it.

Nothing has changed today in my professional or personal life, either. Simply a new day and I woke up with a different perspective. 

Can anyone else relate to what I'm saying? 

I'm more of an optimistic person UNTIL mid March and no or very little snow has fallen. This could be the 2 time in 3 year with not having to turn my snow blower on.  But I'm in this to win it! Hope tomorrow is a good start. 

Looks like first week in Feb is going to rock.  

Holding solid:

Today's the biggest model runs ever. 

I’ll take it! 3:4

12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Every model has MDT over 3 inches at this time….

But….I’m happy to see this from you… we always do well when you make a post like this every event of every year!

We also have the 2 weeks in Feb that should be very good. 

1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said:

Yeah, I’m definitely cool with the optimism.  My posts aren’t directed at anyone, just general venting. This season has been awful which is annoying.

Your good! I understand for sure 

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I’m rooting for a 0z comeback for Lancaster county to make our posters there happy….and for the sake of our board…Lol!

Let’s go! 

5 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

You're south of the turnpike?

I’m right on the line a bit north 

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Not many models show 3-4" where we live. We don't all live north of the turnpike.

Also, the trend is not our friend. Right now I'd be highly skeptical of 3-4" in Palmyra but I don't know anything. LOL 

Neither do I. I’ll remain optimistic 

13 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said:

Melt - Short for meltdown like trainingtime’s this morning.

I’m selling 3-4 down here. State College? Sure. But since last night’s great Euro run all trends have been to hold off on precip down here until it’s too warm.

I haven’t seen that at all. Sorry maybe your location