Jump to content

paweather

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,339

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by paweather

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

    Final call...

    Been watching (and posting!) a lot of models the last 3 days to try and derive how they depict moisture getting up into the PA area.  It seems the trend is for two general blobs of moisture with one mostly bypassing us to the south and the other concentrating in the southern half of PA (if you toss the Nam's depiction which is much different).  Jetstream maps seem to keep the entrance regions of the jet steak a bit north of PA so it comes down to frontogenesis and qpf being thrown over our cold dome.  My opinion is that S Central PA is in the bullseye right now especially near the MD line so…all of  this is before ice.  The Euro has about 1.5" of qpf for most of us so there is a lot of ice (and some rain) on top of this. 
     

    @Cashtown_Coop, @bubbler86  7-9" with some near one foot totals near the area.

    @MAG5035  6-8"

    @CarlislePaWx @Blizzard of 93 5-7"

    @canderson @djr5001 @sauss06, @2001kx, @paweather, @daxx, @Voyager 4-6"

    @Wmsptwx  @pasnownut, @pawatch 3-5"

     

     

    Nice Bubbler. Good luck!

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    29 minutes ago, bubbler86 said:

    Hmm, I agree that his posts seem different at times but I really hate to start banning people.  You probably know this but you can hide him from your feed as to seeing his original posts.  

    what I don't want is another MA forum debacle this forum has been great even though at times when the weather is boring it can lead into other conversation, this garbage he writes is not something we need to read. Enjoy the Weather and it is the only weather we got. :-) JB. 

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, Flatheadsickness said:

    I believe I may have triggered this thought . And let me tell you kerplunk I agree with you but let me tell you something about my self . I fear god , I am a patriot, I  no longer have cable. I no longer have any cell phone or ever will again , And I respect my elders. I may not be neurotypical in mind. But I hate to see the emoral  path we are takeing. I am as old school as it gets and it gets me into trouble with the modern persons way of thinking.

    This is a weather forum. Can you please take this garbage to the MA forum? They are so much used to this type of crap. In here it has been a great group of guys that love winter weather.  If you want to discuss the weather stay by all means but there is zero point for this. 

    • Like 1

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    12 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    Harrisburg is actually ABOVE normal snow  for both the month of January & also for the season through today.

    January & the season are Not fails in the snow department at MDT at this time.

    January average snow through today is 8.4 inches & today MDT is sitting at 9.5

    The season normal average through today is 14.1 inches & today MDT is sitting at 18.3 , with a surplus of 4.2 inches.

    Harrisburg is well on its way to hit at least the average seasonal snow total of 30.9 inches.

    guys slow down. Its fine all this was, was a perception to compare to 2011. If you look at December we didn't get anything in terms of winter weather. My comment was not about the pattern and the differences in the pattern from 2011-2018-19. It's all good but the perception of it, it makes it feel like 2011. Even January up until now wasn't that good.

    OK. Move on, I meant no harm. 

     

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    We can enjoy winter for a couple of days but so interesting that this is lining up like the Halloween Snowstorm years ago, someone told me the year but forgot it, where we had that snow early and then winter fizzled. Seems to meet the pattern here where we had the mid November snowstorm and then December was not good, most of January failed, and February starting out not warm.

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 minute ago, djr5001 said:

    Just measured 1.3” on my board and driveway has maybe .3” (northern Enola) - there is not much moisture in these flakes at all so ratios could very well be close to 20:1.  Radar looks great but other than a period of larger flakes earlier it is really not coming down the way radar makes it look like it should be.

    Radar does look like it is back building a bit. 

    Central PA - Jan/Feb 2019 Obs and Discussion

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Just now, pasnownut said:

    absolutely.  

    Truth is that in this pattern we are going to need to ride the line, as the pac is just muckin stuff up.  If its all NS derived events, we'd get clipped but theyd be snofart kinda snows, and not juicy.  Boundary is where the action will be.  Verbatim I'm in trouble down here but hope the northern 1/2 of the state would have a little better chance with the zonal look.  Thats as far as I'm willing to delve in right now, as there is so much volatility right now.  MJO gets towards 8 or -AO and it may be workable for sure.  

     

    yep. I would rather play the gamble game with more southern activity for us and hope we get a good track to the east for snow or even a start as snow to ice/rain back to snow. Feb is a key month for us. 

    • Like 1
×
×
  • Create New...