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paweather

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  1. 4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

    Well, it's looking quite likely we face the prospect of a couple day warmup and cutter at the end of next week as trough and cold settle back into the west again. PNA temporarily neutralizes with the upcoming storm before diving again. -NAO/AO blocking remains firm, EPO/WPO look generally negative-ish.

    So after we have this probable cutter next week we look to settle into a cool but not cold pattern for the time being with storm chances but some vulnerablity to cutters. MJO has been back in the picture near the Phase 6/7 line, and guidance generally gets it slowly into 7 at a pretty decent amplitude... which reflects the previous sentence pretty decently. A warmish phase but not quite the dead ringer torch phase 4-6 is. 

    combined_image.png.089f0ec0aa520f59cba35245498b989d.png

    What would really be nice is eventually progressing the MJO pulse toward 8-1-2... which would likely put some of the really cold air in play on this side of the country.  Either way, I don't currently see any major detrimental things that would prevent us from having our chances getting into the first half of next month. 

    Thank Mag. I appreciate the update after this storm. 

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