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Posts posted by paweather
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Crazy. Love it.
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Beauty just keep this pic:
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CMC should be incoming at 78.
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Just now, Bubbler86 said:
Good to see we are not watching a full scale eastern run for the fish.
Not so much like 12z.
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CMC seems to be close to the GFS/EURO coming up.
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What could go wrong, Mag. LOL. I feel like we have seen this same solution for days.
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7AM Monday:
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Another Crush Job incoming.
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Everything seems to be slower in model trends. GFS now to with the Primary.
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GFS? Keep me dreaming.
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4 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:
Well, it's looking quite likely we face the prospect of a couple day warmup and cutter at the end of next week as trough and cold settle back into the west again. PNA temporarily neutralizes with the upcoming storm before diving again. -NAO/AO blocking remains firm, EPO/WPO look generally negative-ish.
So after we have this probable cutter next week we look to settle into a cool but not cold pattern for the time being with storm chances but some vulnerablity to cutters. MJO has been back in the picture near the Phase 6/7 line, and guidance generally gets it slowly into 7 at a pretty decent amplitude... which reflects the previous sentence pretty decently. A warmish phase but not quite the dead ringer torch phase 4-6 is.
What would really be nice is eventually progressing the MJO pulse toward 8-1-2... which would likely put some of the really cold air in play on this side of the country. Either way, I don't currently see any major detrimental things that would prevent us from having our chances getting into the first half of next month.
Thank Mag. I appreciate the update after this storm.
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Just now, Atomixwx said:
Do I need to go down to the MA thread and set some mother****ers straight?
Good luck!
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ICON is the winter......done.
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Where is the RGEM at 78?
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The NAM is the EURO. The EE Rule remains.
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downright NAM'd OK I can go to bed or wait for the GFS every model has the same evolution.
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Just now, Bubbler86 said:
Sounds like a question for the MA board. :-)
LOL. Exactly. Anyways, let's get NAM'd.
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Just now, canderson said:
Dumb question: at what point do ensembles not matter as much as the OP?
That's a good question.
Central PA - Winter 2020/2021
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
I think is groundhog day with this storm. :-)