paweather

Looks like we see the remnants of Laura on Saturday:

Insane, hang in there Canderson:

20 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

In an era when everything seems to be sensationalized by the media, I fear that Laura is going to cause a lot of heartache over the next 24 hours.  

Our anniversary plans getting ruined = inconvenience. People who live down that way = livelihoods altered potentially for many years to come. 

Just read this:

Since records began in 1851, a category 4 or 5 hurricane has never made landfall in southwestern Louisiana or far southeast Texas. Even if you've ridden out strong hurricanes in the past, you're not going to want to ride out this one. Parts of southwest Louisiana and far southeast Texas will experience historic storm surge from Laura. Also keep in mind that Laura will be making landfall when it's dark.

Even though the Saffir-Simpson scale is widely used to categorize hurricanes based on sustained wind speed, remember that it does have its limitations. Remember, Hurricane Katrina actually made landfall as a category 3 storm. There are many examples of hurricanes that were catastrophic but didn't rank as high on the Saffir-Simpson scale at/near landfall. That's why it's so important to assess the potential impacts of a hurricane on a storm-by-storm basis. With Laura, the storm surge will likely be the primary killer, and even those who have lived through powerful hurricanes in the past have likely never experienced anything like what's about to happen.

28 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Goodness, do not be sorry.  I was complimenting you.  

Yeah, I know you didn't mean anything. I am usually in hibernation from this forum right now. But now it at the very least I am starting to like all 4 seasons more and more with the weather.

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

You are now the most frequent poster here I think.  We should call this the Summer of paweather. 

I know. Sorry. This is a very first ever for me but again, I just missed the tracking that we didn't have in the winter months. 

WOW. up to Cat 4. 

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Score one for the Hwrf.    If anything it under did the results as they are being reporting at this hour but it was much closer than the traditional models.  EC was pretty close as well.   Cannot even trust that this will not clip Cat 5 status at this point. 

 

 

Agreed. It is another 2020 extreme. I hope people are preparing down there. 

30 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

So one year ago today, my wife and I made plans to vacation on Galveston Island arriving today and leaving on a western Caribbean cruise tomorrow. Once Covid hit and crippled the cruise lines, we cancelled all of our reservations. At the time, it was disheartening to do so...

Interesting how things turn out...

I'll say, Laura is really strengthening. 

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Is that a prolonged stretch of low, low 80s (at best) and lower-than-normal humidity I see next week???

Yes I believe so. 

My copy paste of the day:

Looks like next week the heat will be on break at the very least good news. But heck this is not a hot summer. 

30 minutes ago, paweather5 said:

Going to make everyone’s morning a little better. We have hope haha. 
 

Well, get ready. The "Farmers' Almanac" is predicting a possible blizzard for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast states in February. It could deliver a foot or two of snow.

 

 

At least FA captured all the weather for us in this prediction. LOL

Welp Zilch again tonight. 

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Even to our west it doesn't look overly impressive. There are a few cells that look decent but so far, overall it looks kind of meh. 

There is a 2nd area forming further east behind the first "line" that might target our area later on. 

Yep agreed. Maybe the 2nd line. 

Looks like the line of Lake Effect Fake Rain is headed to Bubbler house. I am missing it to my west.

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Maybe, but you'll end up with 2" of rain from .2" of moisture. Fake rain is the quickest way out of a drought. 

I'll just take fake Snow anytime! 

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Fake Rain

Love it and now for my 2,000 post that I thought I would get there in February. :-( 

Lake Effect Storms are coming from Erie right now. :-) 

On a positive note we are almost in September. :-) 

18 minutes ago, canderson said:

FWIW my family isn't evacuating - they live between Houston and Galveston and then about 8 miles east of Galveston itself. 

Good luck to them! I hope all remains well. 

16 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

We're already under an enhanced risk for wind tomorrow on SPC's day 2 outlook. No way we miss out on both days...right? 

We got zilch last night when the radar looked so promising. Here is to another night. 

1 minute ago, canderson said:

A big one is missing me to the north that should hit you! 

I'm hoping........like last night! 

wow so that nice cell over Canderson dissipated before getting to me. Thanks Canderson.  

11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Just hit 90 for the 39th time here. 

I just read in the mid atlantic obs disco that this hasn't been a hot summer - I thought we just came out of the hottest July in recorded history? 

7 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Radar looks like its blossoming nicely to the NW.  Looks like we all have a chance to get into the goods.  I saw a report right near my house of 2.12" yesterday.  i didnt think we got that much, but we definately had to rounds of heavy rain.  #luckylanco

I'm not sure what the official total in Lebanon County was last night but we were rocking heavy rain here for a little while.