paweather

Well finally looking like some moisture on our doorstep for Happy Hour. :-) 

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

They rumor is the rebs never made it as far north as you are though the often disputed battle of Schrute Farms would put that into question.

 

 

Delaware Valley will be the winner again. 

5 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

About 1/4" here from 'round 1'.    Not sure if there will be a round 2. 

I still have zilch. 

Well we have moisture now above the M and D

2 minutes ago, canderson said:

Storms from the south hear the failure of Lee and don't want to show face back in Gettysburg for fear of ridicule. 

This could be a car topper event. 

9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Somehow it always knows the Mason Dixon is.  Its almost like Mason and Dixon just stayed home and dry a line where the precip stopped and said "There you go MD , PA DE and WV."

 

 

The NWS zone forecast for my area changed significantly from this weekend LOL.

46 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I am the first frontier for this one and yea its not moving any closer.  LOL.  To borrow one of Canderson's analogies it is moving slower than the Reb's on Gettysburg. 

The infamous southern slider. 

Thank goodness this is not winter the radar trends would be agonizing.  

48 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Congrats!

Which winter storm is this photo from?

1993

Good fetch of moisture out in western Pa. and then Laura so maybe more coming. 

This forum right now seems like winter time. Love it. Nice rain here coming down. 

7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Eric Horst just announced his retirement as director Meteorology at MU. He's going to do some weather consulting and expand on his rock climbing business. Our area will miss his local expertise, and no one in here will have to listen to me any longer about him.  

Wait - he did say that he'll continue to talk weather on Twitter.  

Gosh we lose Matt Moore and now Horst. 

Just now, smokeybandit said:

 

Just called my in laws they live in Mifflin County near Belleville said it was raining but no winds yet. 

4 minutes ago, yoda said:

TW for Huntingdon/Mifflin counties till 1:45pm

Yoda Thanks for coming over here!

Good ole 540 line showing up again as Nut had said. Come on down your next contestant in colder weather. 

GFS still seems to have a soaker for tomorrow. 

Things fell apart quickly I got 0.0000001 rain

We may score tonight in the T-Storm Category. 

24 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

The GFS/GEFS really doesn't have a lot of QPF either, it kinda loses the remnant low of Laura on the prog with the northern branch low showing. I've seen Laura's impact here as more of an influx of it's very humid tropical airmass and the potential for heavy downpours with thunderstorms that develop. It's not looking like any kind of significant intact area of heavy rain.  The pressing frontal boundary is also going to draw up it's moisture as well but the focus on that has been more on western PA. 

True. I think from what you and Bubbler are saying the more bang for rain is the frontal passage early next week. 

13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

12Z drives the remnants even further South now.  Going through NC.  Still lots of rain on Monday and Tuesday for East of the Susquehanna.  

Thanks, so night and day different from the GFS. 

Just now, canderson said:

Up to 98 - probably my 5th 100 day this year.

Can't wait for next week. 

3 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Most of PA is in a slight risk for severe weather today, with an enhanced risk in NE PA and a hatched wind threat area in neighboring NY/NJ/CT . The enhanced risk/hatched wind zone kind of shifted northeast a tad from when I saw it last night, so most of us in here are looking at a general slight risk day with ample CAPE. The better shearing is farther north in NE PA and above, where multiple thunderstorm modes (supercellular and bow segments) are in play and actually occurring already. We could see some pop ups and clusters this afternoon, and downdraft CAPES are quite high, so wind is probably the biggest threat in anything severe in our region. 

Edit: Mid level lapse rates are also somewhat elevated as well, so some bigger cells that pop up could have some decent hail too. 

Thanks for the update, Mag. 

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Has not been too windy lately outside storms so this is a bit of a change. 

The NAM drops a bit less than 1/4" on me today so I am rolling with it.  Ha

What does the Euro say about Saturday? GFS is juicy.

2 minutes ago, canderson said:

Gotta be north - above 80 north - I think. But they're going to get some strong storms up there later. 

yeah that is what I'm thinking even though my NWS zone forecast has a chance of storms through 8pm. 

Some storms this afternoon? Winds are gusty here right now.