paweather

13 minutes ago, anotherman said:

Getting crushed here in YNS. Huge flakes.

Same here flakes have turned big. Temps must be rising.

Snow picked up again here. Over an inch now. 

I like it Blizz! Keep this winter going. 

Snowing moderately in Palmyra.

2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

If you want good snow, you typically don’t want the Arctic descending right on top of you. It’s much better to have it nearby in order to keep the storm track active. Otherwise, too much Arctic air & the storm track heads way too far south.

Blizz you and I can’t think alike. It’s nice to have but to have it close is the most important thing. Otherwise suppression. 

22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 18z GFS entire 16 day total snow map is just too good to not post!

The 10 -1 ratio map is epic, but the Kuchera is out of this world!

I think most of us would be thrilled with just half of this !

This just screams “Potential” !!!

That would be insane. Let’s hope for an active week ahead and no sleep lol. For tracking. 

22 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Lol, you guys have been reading the Mid-Atlantic thread haven't you?

I know this isn't looking as great as it was but it still should be a general advisory type event for the LSV. The NAM and company had been the guidance in particular leading the way with that widespread 6"+ and we should all know the NAM can giveth.. but it most certainly can taketh away. Most other guidance has generally been less of a widespread 6"+ threat and more of a debate of how expansive the precip extent is going to be. I thought the coastal low had a chance to run up right on the coastline but it's looking like it will track offshore some, pulling the axis of best snowfall associated with that back southeast some. Basically back to my original SE of I-81 thinking with the best accums. 

Jury still somewhat out on that NW extent of the precip shield between blossoming coastal and also the area of precip back out over MO/IL/etc. I like a general T-2" NW of I-81 covering back to the I-99 (AOO,UNV,IPT) corridor and perhaps even western PA as we certainly can't rule out a period of mostly light snow anywhere in those areas. Obviously the best chance of 2" or perhaps a bit more is closer to I-81 or perhaps some southern Laurels locations. 2-3" (advisory event) for places like MDT and more of a 3-5" York/Lancaster with an outside chance at some scattered higher amounts near the MD border.. but mostly this is looking to top out at 4-5" by the looks of it.    

Thanks Mag.

What a trend today got Nam’d this morning to Now hope to get 2” max. 

Great look on the HRRR:

2-4 seems like a good call for NWS. HH NAM seems to be in that direction. Good snow rates too in the morning up to 18z. 

9 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Hey guys! Here's my first call map for the storm. Not everyone in here will be covered, but it shows the general idea!

Thanks. 

17 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

I was really excited when I saw it but hope those 2M temps are a bit overdone. 

Yeah I know so amped up. 

Wow the Nam is LSV got Nam’d for tomorrow. 

I’ll take my 4 and move on to the next. But plent of time to change.

4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

The 3k NAM has the low nice and tucked in just off of the coast of OCMD. It brings the heavier band of snow into the LSV. This run ups the ante to make this more of a 4 to 7 inch event for most of the Susquehanna Valley.

Yep Nam is on target. Thanks Blizz.

Just now, 2001kx said:

Nice band of wind driven snow rolling through now.

Good stuff! Enjoy. 

Gosh GFS brings rain into the LSV. And MAG you look good on there in fact all of PA gets snow even 2001K. 

NWS zone is 1-3" right now. But I would expect if 0z holds we could be in a WAA WSW tonight or tomorrow morning.

ICON:

3K NAM is even further west. 

Just now, Superstorm said:

This thing keeps getting more amped up. Keeps moving NW. How much more is the question now.


.

Exactly albeit a quick 6-8 hour event. It could be dumping pretty good Sunday morning. 

The NW Shift doesn't to be stopping. I hope it doesn't go back E at 0z.

2 minutes ago, anotherman said:

We can only hope!

This isn't bad for the LSV:

7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'd say a general 1-3" for now, can always adjust up a little tomorrow if need be. 

Yeah, I know the only downer is to be 30-60 miles away from a 6 plus storm. But I'll take what I can get. :-)