Jump to content

paweather

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    11,418

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by paweather

    Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Just now, pasnownut said:

    yeah it moved LP about 500 miles in one run.  lol

    You'd think w/ the "stable" arctic boundary that it'd be a bit easier for the models.  

    next up (rd#1 to me) trended better, and I still think enough time for #2 to correct north some, and thats about as far as I'm comfy in thinking right now.

    Yeah seems like the GFS is just having trouble with so many waves in a short period. Even the Valentines Day Coastal doesn't make sense on the evolution of it. I think the Meso's will do better this week.

    Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Not too bad for a zone forecast:

    Tonight
    Snow likely, mainly after 5am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 22. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
    Tuesday
    Rain and snow before 2pm, then a slight chance of snow between 2pm and 4pm. High near 39. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
    Tuesday Night
    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 19. Northwest wind around 6 mph.
    Wednesday
    A slight chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31. North wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
    Wednesday Night
    Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 23. Calm wind becoming east around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
    Thursday
    Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 31. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
    Thursday Night
    Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 22. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Friday
    A chance of snow before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    Friday Night
    Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17.
    Saturday
    A chance of snow after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    Saturday Night
    A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
    Sunday
    A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    Sunday Night
    Partly cloudy, with a low around 13.
    Washington's Birthday
    Mostly sunny, with a high near 27.

    Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

    You did bring that up, good call. This cold of arctic air tends to suppress and make less amplifying of strong storms.

    It is a double edge sword especially for us in the south. We need the cold but your right it can be a problem to produce significant storms in our region. I don't know plenty of time yet I was really looking at the evolution of the storm on the EURO just seems odd to me. 

    Central PA - Winter 2020/2021 Part 2

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

    Ya can’t shovel potential but that’s a shit ton of it verbatim.
     

    Now if we can even get 50% of it it would be a great period. 
     

    I'm not sure what to think about this week looking at the 12z runs today including the EURO just now for the Thursday/Friday system looks like a convoluted mess to our south.

×
×
  • Create New...