paweather

36 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Nam just came in colder for Thursday and says snow not far from MDT. But alas, it's the Nam.

We got a chance! 

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

We stayed in what's called "The Village" which is why I often link that specific webcam here. It's in very close proximity to the gondola station. 

There are actually 2 separate gondolas in Mammoth - one is essentially a touristy thing that takes you from the Village to one of the lodges. It's completely free, and it's the one you see in the cams. It was fine.

The 2nd takes you from Mammoth's main lodge to the 11.053' summit. It costs close to $40/person. We LOVED that ride! The views at the top were incredible. And the snow in mid May was still well over 150" in depth. (It was nearly 100" at the base, lol) 

AWESOME Thanks! I may pull the plug on a trip there!

25 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Yes - he's releasing a new one likely tomorrow after cleaning up from this blizzard. Here's his first video of the season after last week's storm:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=86dpgRYjOas

*By the way - notice that he has front doors on his house on both levels so that he can exit once the bottom half of his house disappears.  

Where did you stay out there? 

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Meanwhile - my goodness do I ever miss this place:

https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village

All I can say is WOW!

GFS pretty much bone dry through the 12th. 

29 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Think I’m heading to Altmar, NY Thursday night.

Do some Lake Effect chasing.

I’ll go what time? 

1 minute ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Get back to me about that on the ninth.  

Will do! 12 plus guaranteed! 

13 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

My best worms say southern stream comes into play around  December 6th, and the big dog bites around the tenth if something big  is going to happen early. 

Can I place a wager?

27 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Well I'm in the all guidance camp as one has not been proven to be empirical in verification vs others, and IF one looks at ALL model guidance (OP/ENS) and couples that with tellies, once again the word workable comes to mind.  Based on current Enso and influence of MJO possibly being a bit muted, I'll take a

- AO/ + PNA and roll w/ it as long as we can.  Deep winter it may not be, but workable IMO.  

AGREE! Let's do it an early winter and then a superstorm in March! 

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

 

What your posts would look like if you were am ensemble guy. 

 

 

Ok LOL. These emojis are killing me. 

And I am not an ensemble guy so that is something I don't look for.  

5 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'm not sure what you are looking for, but most guidance (both Op and ENS), have predominant troughing here in the east w/ cold close enough to get it done with the right timing (as always).  

Personally i dont need northern FL under freeze warnings.  Just need it cold enough to snow....and I see heights largely supportive of a workable regime.  Of course there can be a relaxation here and there, and the only one that I saw was followed by deep blues returning or rather constant at 850mb and this oozes something we havent had for a while....clippers as its largely norther stream driven.  

Just the GFS is dry through the 11th. 

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

It was harden to watch, as sixers fans we know how to maxeymize suckage. 

Terrible. I really hope this is it for the "Trust the Process" era. 

I hope the Clipper comes in soon. Oh, it did already by 26. 

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

No surprise,  the EC backed off the PV into PA

I figured it would. Hope we can keep the cold in place for the 2 part of December. 

Cold and dry first 11 days in December. 

38 minutes ago, WmsptWx said:

Awfully quiet on here today. It's a short week. Let's not pretend we're busy working. Everybody has already checked out and is mentally putting together a schematic diagram of their performance at the table on Thursday. Maybe some of you are stretching in preparation for a Turkey Bowl. No pencils are being pushed, no beans are being counted, what's with the silence?

 

Stop that.

shhhhhhhh...........

That is pretty close.

Who pays for Sixers tickets? God awful 

2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

If the waves track under us, the right timing & precip intensity would help the winter weather cause.

Love it bring it Bliz and Mitch! 

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

EPS hitting southern central and eastern Canada hard with snow over the next 2 weeks. That won't be melting fast, if at all, in the coming weeks. It should really help in refrigerating lower levels of the atmosphere this early season.

Perfect for the Vortex to show up

6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Still unhappy with weather, eh? 

Ruins weather

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

PG was a Clipper last year. 

Speaking of Clippers, they're in town this evening.

Love it! LOL

28 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Gfs suggesting a shot at a clipper late next weekend. But it could get killed by the mts. We'll see.

We haven’t had a clipper in years.

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here are CTP’s thoughts for Thanksgiving.

All medium range model guidance tracks an area of low pressure
northeast from the Lower Miss Valley late next week, likely spreading
precipitation across PA for Thanksgiving Day. There remains plenty
of uncertainty inherent in a day 5 forecast regarding the exact
surface low track and resulting ptypes. However, a large
majority of ensemble members support a moderate precipitation
event late Wed night through Thursday with mean qpf around a
half inch. Lack of a blocking high suggests any snow may be
confined to a relatively narrow corridor on the northern edge of
the precip shield. Early thermal profiles indicate the best
chance for a few inches of snow will be over the N Mtns, with
all rain likely near the Mason Dixon Line.

 

There is still hope!