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USCAPEWEATHERAF

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Everything posted by USCAPEWEATHERAF

  1. 12z NAM is definitely more amped from the previous two runs. A different trend in the other direction. This might be due to sampling better, but I will wait until the 00z runs tonight to see if the new data changes anything. Right now, it would be nice to trend towards a benchmark track below 990mb.
  2. The sampling wont make a difference until 00z Saturday runs Friday night. There is nothing going on right now to change them, they are just going back and forth,
  3. 3 KM NAM is a lot more amped and bullish at hour 60.
  4. Look, it looks worse for people west of 72W longitude, it is all relative from where your location is, let me get my system in and then we all enjoy the WED system. Let the SE Coastal New England folks cash in their prize for the winter and then everyone can rejoice for the WED system. Again, it does not act like that in the real world, but I just pray we get a lot of snow.
  5. The 2/7/03 system brought more snow to the Cape then PDII
  6. Very small timing differences in the flow with the southern stream energy. Newest run is a tad slower, like three hours slower than the 12z run.
  7. Differences between the 18z and 00z are minute at best. Very small differences. Northern stream is a bit more amped, and the flow ahead of the southern stream shortwave is more NNE then NE. Just have to see how the downstream ridging reacts the next few frames.
  8. So you want a snowstorm with cold air present with a southern stream dominant storm? Heck, without the presence of the northern stream shortwave, this system floods the region with warmth and rain. You won't get snow with a single southern stream dominant system.
  9. Actually rather have them phase 75 miles southeast of the benchmark into a monster sub 960mb low, but hey I don't get what I want.
  10. Remember Bob, with this setup, we want the southern shortwave to be a tad out in front of the northern stream digging shortwave. This is different then the pattern has been lately. Similar to the JAN 2017 event.
  11. Dude the snow I measured was legit, I saw the drifts and non drifts, a lot of them were 4-8 feet high. We had 12" at midnight, at 6 am we had 24" and at the end of Sunday we had 35", the wind were unbelievable. The heaviest snow band I had ever witnessed was weakening after it struck Taunton with 8" in 75 minutes, we had rates near 4-5"/hour when it came overhead.
  12. Nope I measured it correctly, the NWS had a little blip on the south coast of Harwich in their official snow map of over 30"
  13. A few flurries between 8-10 am and then non stop rain since noon. Heavy rain now with a high temp of 41F. Winds have been cranking since late afternoon
  14. Man the dry slot tries to get closer and more bands just organize. Someone is going to get obliterated. Remember when the HRRR model showed almost 48" for Allentown last night, well someone in NE MA can get close to 30" by tomorrow evening. This moisture is insane.
  15. Umm after this mess I definitely do deserve the next one missing everyone outside of the I-95 corridor
  16. Of course the one storm that does not dry slot the south coast is the one that pours rain for me and the Cape and Islands. Wow what freaking luck. The storm next Sunday, better come through for my area, and let everyone smoke cirrus, and we get the deformation banding and the best blizzard conditions and the storm deepens to 950mb 75 miles southeast of the benchmark. Everyone who got stumped today will get their blockbuster on Sunday and Monday.
  17. NAM tries to get some snow WED morning pre-dawn
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