USCAPEWEATHERAF

Anyone watching the IR satellite imagery over NE MA? That storm has exploded in the highly unstable airmass over the ocean. Cold cloud top temperatures have gone below -70C, they are that high in the sky. Tallest clouds right now in New England.

Severe risk is escalating for SE MA and RI this afternoon, CAPE values are skyrocketing as sunshine has developed from RI to Cape and Islands. We could have a real risk at severe weather this evening.

Does anything happen?

Hey Jay Kenney, did Quincy see a downburst or a microburst like ten minutes ago, Eric Fischer on twitter said velocity radar picked up a potential downburst moving northward from Quincy, MA? Also, SE MA looks could have a potentially elevated risk for a tornado or two this afternoon and early evening as the high dew point, high instability air triggers discrete storm development along with the south coast sea breeze that has moved into central CT, RI and interior SE MA. Any discrete cells that dissect this boundary could tighten their cores and rotate and allow for a tornado or two to develop. CAPE values at the surface near 4000j/kg and MLCAPE near 2500 j/kg. Supercell Composite parameter is elevated in this region as well. We have a flash flood watch in effect until 11 pm, anyone thinks the Red Sox game will be played tonight?

It looks like morning convection looks to impact the immediate SE MA coastline with strong to severe convection with damaging winds and maybe a waterspout or tornado potential exists is non zero.

Anyone think there is something to see in the area of activity just east of Barbados, like a couple of hundred miles, there is some semblance of a partial low-level circulation present.

Bristol is looking to get hit quite hard.

There is a system developing deep convection over the NW Bahamas, any chance this becomes a storm?

Eastern shoreline of MA

I believe Sunday will be worst for SNE.

12z HIRES NAM is quite robust with the surface CAPE over SE MA and RI on Saturday and again on Sunday. Sunday looks like a potentially damaging hail event as the H5 low moves through the flow with a strong disturbance on the southside of the low.

Does anyone know if that wave is legit off the west coast of Africa?

Thanks for the reply Windspeed.

Big tropical AEW is over the eastern Atlantic Ocean now, showing rotation in the mid-levels and within the convection, deep convection has developed with the wave. Anyone if this has a chance to develop?

Never expect storms to last to the coastline, the water is too cold still, in the mid-50s and with southwest winds or south winds, the ocean is still not ideal. We have to wait until mid June at the earliest, but our severe season is after Independence Day, through Labor Day. Can't wait for the Bruins game three tonight.

The Tornado Chronicles are a new novel project that I will be working on in the future.

We had a big line of storms strengthen as they passed over the Cape and Islands this morning. There could have been some reports of severe weather, like Hail and some wind with a lot of lightning, but it didn't wake me up at all. Which is weird because thunder usually does wake me up at night.

A lot of signs point to a potentially damaging wind event, right now parameters are not as supportive as we want, but models show storm potential as a monster low makes it path across ME into the Gulf of Maine. Could be quite strong winds in convection and then the backside of the low could deliver very cold air and winds off the ocean. Also, our prayers go out for Jefferson City, MO residents and everyone who has gone through these tornadoes yesterday and this morning.

Hey everyone, I am in the workings of creating a creative business that focuses on ideas and making them into stories to tell the world. I am focused on working on a novel and get that published first. I have a partner now. Not official yet, but in the process of working the kinks out. We are going to make a novel series and perhaps make movies after each novel in the franchise that now has a name, "The Awakening Dawn" series. Each of the three novels has titles now, they are still working titles, and are subject to change. 'The Awakening Dawn" 9Book one), "From Dawn Until Dusk" (Book Two), "The End of the Awakening" (Book Three). These novels will continue the story of the main characters, Jack Irving (25 year old hurricane specialist), Abi Acheson/Irving (Jack's fiancee in book one and wife throughout the rest of the story), Michael Reed (Jack's best friend since Kindergarten) and Marie Givens (Mike's girlfriend and wife later on and bosses daughter in book one). Secondary characters who appear in every novel: Jack's family members: Daniel Irving (Brother), Sarah Irving (sister, unsure her future), Siobhan Irving (Jack's youngest sister), Edith Irving (Jack's mother, dies from pancreatic cancer in book one), William Irving (Jack's father, lives in all three books). Other characters include Abi's best friend and secretary, USAF Reserve 53rd WRS hurricane hunter pilot Major/Lt. Colonel Brooks Carter and his crew. And others... Next project and potential big-time franchise novel/movie series... 'The Terroristic Behavior Series" This is a story about a duel between a CIA trained assassin turned into terror suspect who terrorizes the US's world interests, many mysteries exist and are unraveled as the story goes on as former terror expert and ghost hunter, FBI special agent Sebastian Jenkins who is recently divorced and has three children. He is hired by the FBI again or transferred to GHOST PROTOCOL. He is hunting a person the government of the US considers a ghost. The story lasts three novels and shows potential to become a big-time movie franchise. Characters include Carter Avril - ghost, and Sebastian Jenkins Ghosthunter. Still a work in progress in terms of character development and story development. There are other individual projects considered as well that could provide to the workload. This is for the far future to determine. James Warren Nichols/Kyle Bass

Working on a new draft should be done within a month's time, getting better at telling the story I want to tell.

Yeah a perfect night of slop snow, sleet and rain all combined for a total accumulation of coating of snow. Our best storm so far this season is 4" of snow.

Sleet has started after a coating of wet snow.

No but what I mean is that normally storms pre-event have pressures quite high north of the low like over 1020mb

The surface center of our storm is broad and low, around 1008mb over a large area, and as low as 1006mb over the GA/SC border.

Also there pressure field all over the East Coast is quite low, around 1019mb here in Harwich.