USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Everything posted by USCAPEWEATHERAF
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**Alert - Alert - Alert** (Hurricane Dorian update)
USCAPEWEATHERAF posted a blog entry in Once a legend always a legend
Yes, unfortunately, Dorian is now a hurricane. Models showing a potentially catastrophic hurricane heading towards the south-central east coast of Florida landfall in the next 4 to 5 days. Stay tuned as the models show an extremely dangerous hurricane making the approach to the Space Coast of Florida. -
Erin is with us now, TD6 has been upgraded according to the NAVY site and the 00z Best track site ATCF site. Models are coming west with the track of Erin, very close now to the benchmark and we have another three days before she can reach our latitude.
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Oh yeah compared to average. I meant a decent winter, no.
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Seems like Will's map suggests my area was screwed the most.
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Remember how awful the winter of 2009-2010 was for SE MA and RI? We got porked in one the strongest -NAO blocks we have ever dealt with. Especially late January 2010 and February 2010, PA and NJ got feet of snow, while Boston, SE MA, and RI were balmy with fog and temps in the upper 50s. All because the storm backed in the north of us.
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Thanks, I can't wait for another blizzard, a legitimate one.
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While my dreams are in motion, my plan is in the flow of life. Today I am poor, tomorrow I am a billionaire.
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Today was warmer and less cloudy than yesterday with a more southerly wind. Cape Cod has had good weather after the front passed through on Saturday. My dreams are in motion, after my 30th birthday yesterday, my dreams are in motion and I am really happy.
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98L is the East Coast threat we have been talking about. It has a large surface circulation that remains broad and not well-defined quite yet. However, convection is centralized and I believe 90L in the central Northern Gulf is organizing.
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Maybe, I personally hope not, I want to watch my Patriots play their games this season. Anyways, power being out is not a good or fun thing. I just lost power on July 23rd from the EF-1 tornado, and we didn't have it for a day, just a day, and it was the worst feeling in the world. Not again.
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Come on John, we can be more sincere than that. We know what he means. This is after all a tropical weather subtopic.
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I agree Scott, we don't want destruction here, I want my power.
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Cranky is awful with tropical weather forecasting, he is better with synoptic and winter seasonal as well as thunderstorm seasonal forecasting, Tropical Cyclone forecasting just isn't in his area of expertise.
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Mesolow looks to have impacts on the Islands, maybe showers fringing the south coast through the early morning hours before sunrise.
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Looks like a mesolow developing over central Long Island, watch out along the south coast, could get some nasty storms after sunset.
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oh ok
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so a mesocyclone is present.
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that is a sign that hail is a strong threat?
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lol, that cell is menacing,
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There is a line of discrete supercells developing across western and central CT, they are showing signs of becoming enhanced, by low-level shear and higher storm-relative helicity along any boundaries present. Tornado threat continues as wind shear has increased in all levels, and instability at mid to low levels has increased.
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Line of intense storms that continue to intensify over eastern NYS are moving eastward into a better low-level shear environment will continue and increase as they make it into the SNE region. Tornado threat will continue to increase through the rest of the afternoon and early evening.
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That storm over CT is amazing to watch, satellite and radar imagery is mesmerizing. Welcome back, Ray.
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Tornadoes possible for SNE today!
USCAPEWEATHERAF posted a blog entry in Once a legend always a legend
Major Severe Weather Outbreak is underway today over SNE as the first tornado warning has been issued for Middlesex County, MA. The rest of the region shows increasing potential for intense damaging winds over 70mph, large hail over 1.5" and a few tornadoes. Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 pm tonight. -
Look at the Bahamas wave, it appears to have a strong mid-level circulation already, and could be relating to the surface now.
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This water temperature pocket in the region is allowing the energy needed to sustain and create this extreme weather event. If we don't get a tropical cyclone to properly cool the water, we will have a slow winter to start on the Cape. Again we don't big winters anyways. However, if the energy remains big nor'easters will dump heavy snow on RI to Worcester and points west to Hartford and Springfield, but the I95 corridor south and east will see mostly rain.
