USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Everything posted by USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Dorian stays fully tropical at that time he is down to 934mb
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Keep him away, a monster with Dorian's track record is not a storm I want to mess with or take any chances with, I would take on Bob any day of the week, not a storm with Dorian's history, sorry, go away the big storm. We don't want you, I want to watch the Patriots win.
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Let's keep him way the f east, no impacts.
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The configuration of the gulf stream is weird as it juts northeast from the Outer Banks of North Carolina. It makes sense Dorian would intensify in that pocket was southeast of the benchmark, but closer to the benchmark it would weaken as the SSTs are cooler closer to ACK.
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Dorian isn't going to impact us too badly, most of the models are way southeast, the exception is the NAM.
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No I mean no power problems for the next four months of football season.
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Ahh, the 18z GFS clips me with some heavy downpours. No wind damage likely.
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I can't have this system take away my NFL for the next four months.
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No you guys take Dorian and fling his impacts SE of ACK, kick him out to sea, I want to watch football this weekend and not lose power because I know my street will lose power the first 10mph gust that occurs Friday morning.
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2019 NFL Season and Playoff Outcome Predictions
USCAPEWEATHERAF posted a blog entry in Once a legend always a legend
Predictions made by James W Nichols I outlay the potential standings and records and playoff matchups and outcomes. Questions?? I would love to debate them. It is the attached file. The 2019 NFL Season Predictions.docx -
I would hate to lose power for any more than I have too. Hell no to Dorian, go away fierce monster of Mother Nature, go away, I want to watch football this Sunday. I have a feeling N'Keal Harry will do to the Steelers what Gronk did to them in his career.
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Sunrise approaching Dorian this morning, the hurricane should be visible completely by another half hour to an hour.
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Yes sir, he has been in beast mode since around 5:00 pm EDT yesterday.
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The eye is really clearing out, radar shows an intensifying eyewall. Visible satellite imagery shows hot towers in the NE Eyewall.
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**Alert - Alert - Alert** (Hurricane Dorian update)
USCAPEWEATHERAF posted a blog entry in Once a legend always a legend
Yes, unfortunately, Dorian is now a hurricane. Models showing a potentially catastrophic hurricane heading towards the south-central east coast of Florida landfall in the next 4 to 5 days. Stay tuned as the models show an extremely dangerous hurricane making the approach to the Space Coast of Florida. -
Erin is with us now, TD6 has been upgraded according to the NAVY site and the 00z Best track site ATCF site. Models are coming west with the track of Erin, very close now to the benchmark and we have another three days before she can reach our latitude.
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While my dreams are in motion, my plan is in the flow of life. Today I am poor, tomorrow I am a billionaire.
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98L is the East Coast threat we have been talking about. It has a large surface circulation that remains broad and not well-defined quite yet. However, convection is centralized and I believe 90L in the central Northern Gulf is organizing.
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Maybe, I personally hope not, I want to watch my Patriots play their games this season. Anyways, power being out is not a good or fun thing. I just lost power on July 23rd from the EF-1 tornado, and we didn't have it for a day, just a day, and it was the worst feeling in the world. Not again.
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Come on John, we can be more sincere than that. We know what he means. This is after all a tropical weather subtopic.
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I agree Scott, we don't want destruction here, I want my power.
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Cranky is awful with tropical weather forecasting, he is better with synoptic and winter seasonal as well as thunderstorm seasonal forecasting, Tropical Cyclone forecasting just isn't in his area of expertise.
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Tornadoes possible for SNE today!
USCAPEWEATHERAF posted a blog entry in Once a legend always a legend
Major Severe Weather Outbreak is underway today over SNE as the first tornado warning has been issued for Middlesex County, MA. The rest of the region shows increasing potential for intense damaging winds over 70mph, large hail over 1.5" and a few tornadoes. Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 pm tonight. -
Look at the Bahamas wave, it appears to have a strong mid-level circulation already, and could be relating to the surface now.
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The disturbance in the Bahamas has a spin to it right now, but can't tell if it is at the low to mid-levels. Convection is spread out currently. Not a conducive position currently to develop. Convection would have to become more concentrated with time. I don't think this is the same system the global models show blowing up off the SE US coast by Labor Day, it could be another wave.
