USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Everything posted by USCAPEWEATHERAF
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Yes Z= Zulu which is another way of saying GMT Greenwich Mean Time, or Universal Time. It is also EST is -5 GMT, so 00z = 7pm EST
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They aren't high with this system, I was just pointing out that the models weren't showing a dry system for Cape Cod. However, latest trends are for a little too far north for my area. That band of a foot plus of snow is about 100 miles too far north for me. Well congrats to those that live where average snowfall is over 150 inches.
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Man I would just like one clipper to track right and intensify right on time for a major blizzard for Cape Cod. Just a system that busts positively.
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Someone in coastal ME and NH will see a lot of snow tomorrow. This storm is organized on the models.
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I mean it is cemented that N NH and S ME will see 4-8" of snow, especially the higher in elevation one is, but I am still watching the short range models for the backend of the storm and see if it clips the Outer Cape with snow tomorrow afternoon to bring some ocean effect or storm related bands into the area. The HRRR/RAP models are trending towards a SE moving low track, and the moment of truth is around 6z Thursday when it reaches 73W.
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Much stronger moisture pull north with this system than the one last Tuesday. Also this one intensifies faster and organizes the circulation quicker.
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22z HRRR model run is further south again.
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Marko, I was talking about the Thursday storm, most of the mesomodels show the low more south, towards the Outer Cape instead of north of Provincetown. Honestly if this solution verifies we will know by the time it reaches 73 W longitude. If the low is south of 42N latitude passing this longitude line, then we get a snow event even on Cape Cod, if the low is north of that line then we get rain to snow.
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How is this off topic?
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I would not be surprised if Cape Cod gets a 3-6 hour period of near blizzard conditions as the comma head swings through, if the surface low ends up a little more south, like over ACK instead of over PYM, it could be a bigger snow surprise. Winds could gust over 50mph tomorrow night and into Friday.
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Congrats NNE and CNE snowy week ahead. I surrender, I am waving the white flag.
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This storm looks good for CNE/NNE eastern shoreline from Gloucester, MA Cape Ann area to Downeast Maine. Warning snows look likely, 6"+ in a 12 hour period.
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Congrats, I would hate to see it snow elsewhere, because you guys living in CNE and NNE never get enough snow.
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I know the tricks he has up his sleeve, remember, "Not gonna Happen!" 2015 week of JUNO?
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He is being realistic.
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That is not CNE, you are CNE anyone north of I90 and south of Portland, ME I consider CNE and anyone north of Portland, ME latitude is NNE.
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We have 6" already.
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I am not saying it is an ideal resource and I do not use it myself.
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lol word play Scott, nice. I am not holding out hope like a little kid waiting for the first snow flakes the night before school and I am waiting for that snow day. I got my ultimate storm in High School, I got a week off.
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Awesome, we got the Juju back. The JUNO juju
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Look at the NCEP operations site.
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I believe the weekend threat can produce at least 3" for me on the Cape, but I am still going to watch the next two to three cycles of model runs for the Thursday threat.
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Since when do we ignore a potential event 72 hours away? We always say to pay attention until within reasonable time frame. I would give it through the 00z cycle tonight, if the trends go the other way or stay the same as the 00z last night, then I will side with everyone else on no threat for snow.
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NAM gives me more than inch of snow for Thursday. The models are trending towards a bigger threat. You can't rule it out 72 hours in advance, this same thing happened on the 8th with that coastal storm, though it was ultra progressive.
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Why are you talking like I have zero shot at snow? Models are favoring my area too. They are subject to change, but it isn't out of the realm.
