USCAPEWEATHERAF

Wilma was a great looking hurricane sub890mb

wow

Already at hurricane force flight level winds

Eta looks the best and symmetrical in those three pictures

Yeah the recon plane is inside the CDO now, within 1.0 degree of latitude within the center.

Wow, this is perhaps stronger than Patricia if that is a measurement!

It is crazy, this storm is defying our measurements!

This is spectacularly dangerous and concerning.

Last minute change: 880mb pressure and 175-knot sustained winds!

It is already at 934mb

Major Hurricane ETA has reached 150mph winds as of the 7pm EST update of the NHC November 2nd, 2020 She is likely a category five once recon arrives

Can I still join in on the guesses? 896mb/165-knots

One was lost in the Western Pacific too

Its the Super Hercules, WC-130 J

The WC-130 J Hercules known as the Super Hercules was an upgrade over the original C-130 which the Coast Guard uses now. The C-130 J is also used for other operational procedures in the AF, just not the 53rd WRS

Its a four turboprop engine plane, all 4000 HP for a total of 16000 hp

No its the upgrade, the WC-130 J Hercules

Again, the fall season still wants to remain warm across the eastern CONUS. Right now, the pattern to Wednesday resembles a troughy but zonal pattern aloft where westerlies remain in control with several troughs moving through the region before the region warms significantly as pattern amplifies into a ridging in the East and troughing in the west pattern. This is supported by the teleconnections across North America of a strong +NAO/-PNA/+AO pattern. The only semblance towards a more average pattern temperature wise is with the AO heading neutral by day 15. Right now, there are no true signs that point to a renewed cold regime in the next two weeks. Soak up the warmth for the next few weeks. Sun will continue to set earlier each day until the first day of calendar winter season.

I don't have a big enough understanding of the MJO and its impacts on the North Atlantic and North American pattern! I need to know the basics. Anyone want to message me something about it?

The trough for the area on Monday looks more meridional in nature at least compared to the beyond five days look. The models as a whole have been trending towards a more amplified and a bigger digging trough.

Jerry, would you say that is leaning in the positive direction?

Not sure if this means anything but the fact this October snow was focused towards eastern MA, and Boston, is there a potential that the winter could be better than 2011-2012?

I feel like I am an honored member of the thread now. I feel very honored to be in the running!

The studs and stars of the first real zoom video meeting of the 2020-2021 winter season.

It looks like this ENSO cold phase pattern will provide quite an active northern branch and an active clipper/miller B snowstorm pattern.