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USCAPEWEATHERAF

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Everything posted by USCAPEWEATHERAF

  1. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    SnowGoose, I think we should have a separate thread for the Monday event now. The only issue that system has for any potential accumulating snows is the temp profile. Does the cold front from tonight's system reach the coast and gets south of the islands in time before the precipitation begins on the Monday system. The upper shortwave over the Rockies right now is quite strong on Water Vapor imagery.
  2. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    I believe there is enough space in timing of the two major shortwaves that it won't have much of an impact. The Monday system becomes a powerful low over Labrador no matter the intensity at the benchmark!
  3. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Someone other than myself should begin a threat on the Monday event
  4. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    And Worcester's 36 didn't disparage my 32"
  5. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Not worried about the lack of probs for Cape Cod, because the ensembles do not handle the coastline well here at all when it comes to snow amounts!
  6. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Don't we all
  7. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Which one? The Monday system? I think the Thursday storm is all snow
  8. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    WHY?
  9. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Juno was January 2015, in which I predicted that Cape Cod would stay all snow, and they did, I measured 32" in my front yard, the West Harwich spotter reported 30.5" total. NEMO was more of a mix with heavy rain and we had good backend snows with 17" total. NEMO was a CT special.
  10. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Maybe, or not!
  11. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    For what?
  12. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    I mean, obviously we need a strong arctic high in place over Maine or Quebec to keep the cold arctic air mass in place, locked in and thrown towards the coast!
  13. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Oh I do too, but then the caveat is, that if the warm oceans allow for a change to rain, they also allow for higher moisture content and release over the region. A higher moisture source if the air mass is arctic and deep enough to offset the surface warmth from the upper-40 F water temps!
  14. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Yeah Will, but they are not high resolution, not enough to rely on with the details!
  15. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    That is one piece of guidance my friend
  16. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Think the potential is high for a foot plus on Thursday and at least a six inch maximum for Monday!
  17. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    The Monday storm has a strong 250-300 mb upper jet streak that moves northeastward up the East Coast, producing intense lift off the coast where the Low begins to intensify! This will aide in a quick 6-9 hour period of intense snow rates as the storm intensifies!
  18. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Severe Winter Storm Impact Index: 1.) Nuisance 2.) Significant 3.) Major 4.) Extreme 5.) Crippling Id be fine with 15-18"
  19. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    yeah
  20. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Nah man, this is mine, lol! Man whatever happens is bonus, Anything over 4" would be more than a single event the last two winters for my area.
  21. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Please do not trend all that much northwest, let Cape Cod bask in the glory for this upcoming week, and then after Christmas we can get our interior snow event
  22. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Me in the village of James
  23. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    We can start feeling confident that Monday's shortwave will remain south tomorrow morning once the energy is fully sampled and onshore the west coast!
  24. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    I don't think this occludes or snows out before our region. Ray is right, sell it!
  25. USCAPEWEATHERAF
    Hey if I was to offer up next week's snow and take on rain for the region, and have the Christmas Day miracle snow, then I would gladly take that! If it meant a 976mb low was 75 miles southeast of CHH.
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