USCAPEWEATHERAF

Next few storms in the seven day show potential for heavy rainfall. Nothing to see here!

Antagonists are the massive hurricanes

thanks

No unfortunately, it is not that type of story

Wow, is that a falling star? Is that fire? Is that superman? No it's a World Ending Asteroid. Now, those are not the words of my upcoming novel being released on New Year's Day 2021 (01/01/2021), instead four catastrophic (category five or stronger) hurricanes make landfall in the western Hemisphere with the southern Lesser Antilles taking a direct hit from Category Five plus Hurricane Idalia, South Coast of Massachusetts Buzzards Bay, MA by catastrophic killer cane, Hurricane Harold, the Southeastern and southern Peninsula of Florida, fifteen miles south of Miami, Florida by Hurricane Gert, after the storm struck the Turks and Caicos, Texas and OK once Gert made it into the Gulf of Mexico and Franklin hitting LA, MS and AL coastlines with a record breaking surge height. Main characters Jack Irving and Abi Acheson engaged are working on their wedding planner which happens in less than three months, the six years and counting couple are ready for their next chapter, but the death of his mother, and the catastrophic storms put a hold on his climb to his dream job. So do they survive the chaos, or do they succumb to the nastiness? The Awakening Dawn, The End has Just begun!" James W Nichols - created by and written by Plan on a script in the future for a shot at a movie. Let's get an audience to like the story first. Let's spread the word amongst our social networks and get the word out that this story is alive and well. Thanks! James W Nichols (USCAPEWEATHERAF)

My novel, being self-published on paper back and eBook forms on Amazon will become available for purchase on January 1st, 2021. My name is James W Nichols, with the title of "The Awakening Dawn: The End has just begun!" It would be nice to get a fanbase going and build it upwards. It is hurricane disaster based!

It is snowing above the surface right now. Above our heads snow is falling out of the clouds just to evaporate in the final 500 feet.

I don't buy turning to rain even here in Harwich, MA, I mean sleet for a bit, sure, but not rain. The entire column cools rapidly after warming slightly above 700mb.

Anyone know what Montauk's Station ID is?

Yes early onset OES

I don't think Ray will be right about the Cape, perhaps the Islands, not the Cape.

Models beginning to show less mixing for the Cape and is now just for the Cape if any!

GFS shows us how Cape Cod remains all snow, 10:1 ratios with 1.50" of QPF equals 15" for CHH, latest 00z GFS run. I seriously think the deformation band and dry slot will come further southeast as we get closer to the onset. OES contribution and dry slot issues in hand, Cape Cod could start around 5pm EST later this evening, and end around midnight Friday morning! There is a real chance the comma head could bring some wild conditions. If the region does not dry slot, and honestly with a surface track across the BM and even between the BM and ACK I would not expect a changeover, but the H7 and H85 low tracks are a bit concerning moving overhead. There could be a period of sleet.

GFS was right on the benchmark

GFS is less mixing than the 18z run and every run today!

Also I think Blizzard conditions will be rampant from the coastal front westward by about 50 to 75 miles inland!

One factor we have to continue to watch on the coastline is the potential for dynamic cooling if the NAM and mesomodels are correct. They cool the 850mv to 925mb temps rapidly as the low begins to move eastward south of Long Island. We should stay all snow even if they winds change to the northeast and stay that way, unless they change to the east or southeast, we should stay snow.

Congrats everyone northwest of I-95 corridor. I hope you enjoy the sight of a foot of snow, while I bask in 45F rain and winds Thursday!

Snow Map! This is the map for the nor'easter. Cape and Islands will see a few inches and turn to rain, the upper Cape west of Hyannis can see up to 6" or more, while HYA east sees less!

December 16-18th, 2020 Nor'easter Final Call Snow Prediction Map

Damn, do you really see the low moving that far northwest?

No powderfreak, you already got your snow somewhat, let the coastline have our fun. I am going to be upset if the majority of this system is rain!

awesome, love it when Will is making the defense for snow on the Cape!

lift should help cool the surface as 850mb temps near -10C and 925mb near -6C

its north of the H7 low up to 100 miles.