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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    This is spot on. We could see this continue for an another decade or more. Eventually we will cross another threshold (another 1-2c) we’re even winters aren’t cold enough to fully freeze the margins. Then it’s a slow decline to the eventual ice free Arctic.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m in the hamptons right now and it’s cloudy and breezy.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Alaska cold is our nemesis. We want to see them bake. Keeping expectations low… it’s almost a lock for an above normal temp winter but we can always sneak in a well timed juiced up system.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The city did a big tree planting this spring on the streets of the uws. Looks like that was a big waste as most are dead or close. I don’t hate this perfect weather as I obviously work outside, but this is getting a little tiring. Another week of zero rain.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    When it’s been dry for an extended period better to bet on more of the same. I think I’m going g to turn into a sprinkler…
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It always seems that way up NW of the city. Takes allot longer to dry out. Down here anything ornamental that’s not irrigated has really started to show stress. I was at my dads Sunday and all the hydrangeas were past the wilt stage and were brown and crispy (he was away for 2 weeks). I’m not saying we’re are in a traditional drought were you have long term large departures but any plants that do not have an extensive root system are at risk in these situations. It’s a big part of the native plant movement, as native plants (non cultivars) tend to have more extensive root systems.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I tend to agree we end up with some showers. Heavy rain stays south. We are better off starting of with light rain anyway as very heavy rain would tend to run right off the dry hard soil causing potential flash flooding problems.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, being a horticulturalist drought is my least favorite weather. This weekend I’m sure people will really start to notice as even weeds on the side of roads are starting to brown out. Luckily we are in a lower sun angle time of year, had this been may or June we have actual problems.
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It would be incredible to see a hypothetical high end hurricane perfectly follow the contours of the gulf of California. Waters plenty warm and just wide enough if you could get that perfect track. Also you might get the tightening micro cave effect that often occurs in the southern bay of Campeche due to mountain interactions.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That really is the worst thing we could see for winter enthusiasts. I’ll be honest after this hurricane season completely shit the bed I wouldn’t be shocked by some surprises.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Definitely a large area of strong winds in the SE quadrant based on buoy observations. We often see this in storms with trough interaction. Going to be a good blow for SE LA. One thing I would be on the lookout for is surge east of the center with said winds and captured fetch.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Insane water temps will do that. I agree with your earlier comment that we have a halfcane coming with this one.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Here we go flash drought. Amazing how our new normal is either too much rain or not enough. Lots of watering this week….
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m sure you’re extra excited about the hyper active season fail. From a purely “we have allot to learn” standpoint so am I.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Really getting dry out there. I thought September was a lock for major rains, then the tropics failed big time!
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    What’s going currently perfectly illustrates what climate models have been predicting for a long time. Increased HC isn’t linear with increased hurricane numbers. Though high end cat 5s can become hypothetically more common. One thing for sure is that LI and NE are loosing the cold water buffer that once shielded us from majors. While they will continue to be rare, the high end has more potential.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    This would be a great pattern during the winter. Based on the hurricane season forecast falling apart it would be great to see the winter forecast (warm) to do the same…
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pretty much a perfect beach day at jones beach, full sun all day, turquoises water and lots of whales.
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Literally praying for the cell over central Jersey to make it to the uws. Otherwise I have to spend the entire day watering. It’s going to be close…
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Maybe cleared .01 in lynbrook. From too Much rain back to flash drought…
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. It’s easy to forget multiple naked swirls in mid Atlantic that receive names. It’s not easy to forget landfalling majors.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Loading for the big show. Keeping those OHC nice and high. I’m not wish casting destruction, but ideally I would love to see a parade of majors come out of the MDR just north of the Caribbean and cruise between Bermuda and Obx. Lots of surf and little damage.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Feels like a fall morning. I’m sure our resident hoodie guy is super excited!
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    If yesterday’s event weren’t historic enough. Might challenge the islip record 24 total if that cell keeps sitting there….
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    6 hours: 6.92″ 1 day: 7.77 Stoneybrook meso. It’s the real deal.
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