LongBeachSurfFreak

Very windy on the uws right now, good thing trees aren’t leafed out yet

Nice little shelf cloud right now in wantagh. Pretty cool to have two lines in one day.

last nights MCS was extremely impressive for April right along the coast. It had some property’s of a derecho with the strongest winds occurring during the storm rather then with a gust front. 

1 hour ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

The amount of snow made on Superstar at Killington was absurd. Way higher than the chairlift in many areas. I think June 1st is easily doable if May cooperates.

And that’s mostly man made, that will take forever to melt. They basically build a glacier 

I had some very dense fog earlier this morning in wantagh, near zero visibility. It has now burned off  

13 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

Rainy pattern ahead on every model

Excellent, we really haven’t had much rain lately. Only got a brief shower here on the uws yesterday. Got much more rain at home on the island which is pretty rare this time of year based on the setup.

3 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Maybe this is the normal pattern?

I do not think there is a “normal pattern” anymore. But if you look back historically there have been snowy and less snowy decades based on blocking. Wether it’s directly amp related needs more research 

3 hours ago, Snow88 said:

The pattern eventually has to change

We better hope this isn’t stuck as a result of the change in AMO. That’s my worst nightmare, a reversion to the 1980s coast rain inland snow pattern due to the lack of blocking

It’s raw out today, I’m standing on the lirr platform right now. Very impressive change in feel from yesterday when I was actually sweating working in the sun. 

6 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

We all complain when its hot.Try wearing the vest and the long pants all summer.

Walk in our shoes before making a smartass post.

I have to wear a uniform for work too. And I’m your side about the heat. Long pants are just horrible when it’s 80+ with 70+ dews. It’s the it’s too cold comments. You can always dress for the cold. I wear my snowboard pants and a gortex jacket when it’s below 20 and I can be outside for hours on end just fine   

I was outside working on the uws when the backdoor came through and it was one of the most insane temp drops I have ever experienced. You could feel the cool air with with wind shift. There must have been a 15 temp drop in seconds 

62 at the wantagh meso. Not bad for right on the water. 

Man sugar loaf will be sick this week. 

Really beautiful day in Manhattan today

41 minutes ago, purduewx80 said:

Lapse rates look great around here Monday, but dry air and lack of convergence may prevent much in the way of convection after the AM warm air advection ceases. The focus will likely end up being farther south in the Mid-Atlantic in VA and the Carolinas. 

Tuesday is showing some greater potential for thunderstorms on some of the guidance, including the 06Z ECMWF, FV3 and 12Z NAM + RGEM as the upper trough and stronger cold front approach during the afternoon. Their timing would bring the front through late afternoon as temps warm back up into the 70s.

 

You think we could see some hailers with decent eml?

Wish I was up there right now, dumping on the Stratton cam. Stupid wrist. 

I was doing some planting earlier and the top layer of soil on the uws is very dry for this time of year. That dusty texture you usually see in later summer when it’s been dry. Hopefully we see a decent amount of rain out of this system. The protracted nature will be good for efficiently soaking in. 

Big ice pellets mixed with rain on the uws

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

new Nam is bone dry for most here-won't even see a rain shower unless you're well east

Damn. Soil moisture is low for this time of year in sun exposed areas. (Hence the huge forest fire in the New Jersey pine lands this week). 

14 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Not really, it would have been missing a couple of key ingredients. Warm during the day leading up to a night time BOMB and trees already mostly leafed out. The damage wouldn't have been anywhere near as severe which is a big part of what made that storm so special.

I do not remember trees being leafed out for the April fools day bomb. We only had a couple inches of the pastiest, paste here on the south shore but that occurred with extremely heavy rates and temps in the mid 30s. Parts of NE got absolutely buried!

3 hours ago, Snow88 said:

I love cool and dreary weather.

Warm westher sucks

Yeah, no. And that’s what made this past winter so awful on the south shore. Wasted cold and less then 10” of snow. More useless cold on the way. We better see a full scale pattern change next winter. Wednesday could have been a 4/1/97 redux if it were 200 miles Nw

11 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

Looks like another potential coastal storm for our area is down the tubes. I will give it until the 12z runs tomorrow but otherwise this threat looks like its over as of now.

This ones been cooked for a while. Absolutely nothing preventing it from escaping. It’s been an amazingly good erosion season for our beaches. It’s not often you head into the warm season with beaches in such great shape 

2 hours ago, Jason215 said:

Good call on avoiding the rain. I think snow surface quality trumps terrain. 

I have a shot at a good experience at Jay Peak in a 11 days, but it would be hard to equal what you guys had this past weekend. I’m glad you were able to get some despite your injury. Be careful and heal up!  I have a fondness for Stratton. It was my first big mountain I ever skied . Also skied there during the March 1993 Super Storm Blizzard until the lifts closed at 4PM. That was insane. Took over an hour to drive to the Red Sled motel just down the road and I was driving right behind a snowplow. There was thunder and lightning- the whole 9 yards! 

93 must have been insane there. I think that was their biggest storm ever with 40” or something. The second storm last March was second with 36”. 36” is too much for that mountain though!

37 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Mansfield is just loaded with snow.  It's hard to even ski the glades because you are skiing in the tree canopy.  All the branches that are normally trimmed are at like knee height.  I'm 6'3" and can barely get through a bunch of areas.

Mountain is a playground.

Lots of folks teed it up off the Chin yesterday. 

 

The Ultimate Chutes area...only skied by a handful of skiers with ropes, harnesses and ice climbing gear.  I still remember being at UVM when one of the Ski The East/Meathead Films guys (Alex Stall) fell to his death in here.  His slough pushed him over a cliff leading to a 100+ foot fall that was survivable. 

After growing up skiing in SVT, I remember that happened my first winter skiing at Stowe/Mansfield and thinking, this place is unlike any other mountain I've seen in VT.  The consequences are real if you wander into the wrong area.

It really is another world up there. There is a reason Jake (Carpenter) Burton moved from Stratton to Stowe. The southern Vermont mountains are a plateau and rounded peaks with nearly flat tops. Up there it’s a ridge line. I wonder if that had anything to due with the ice age. The plateau just doesn’t upslope well. You could see it very clearly on radar Saturday night. While Mansfield was ripping 3” an hour SVT was doing .5” an hour. If it weren’t so far of a drive from NYC I would be up there in a heart beat.

2 hours ago, tek1972 said:

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
 

Good, I’m done. Bring on spring. Less then 10” at home for the winter. I bought my dad a snow blower for Christmas and it never got used. Anywhere south of the southern state on the island had an awful winter. My biggest storm was 3.5” in November. At work on the uws we had more the double the amount of snow. That in it of itself is incredible

I actually headed out over the weekend for a few careful runs. Powder and a deserted mountain we’re calling Friday. So I did a few again Saturday and Sunday. Actually my favorite weekend of the season. Stratton reported 9” but there was way more then that above 3000’ as Friday mornings snow was higher ratio the higher you get. That’s where Stratton’s extra elevation comes in handy with allot of terrain above 3,000’. I was debating on heading over to magic for the ski free day but it was raining at their base!!! Stratton’s peak at 3850 is a full 1k above Magic’s at 2850. Though Magic’s terrain is way more challenging!