LongBeachSurfFreak

That would be amazing. We just do not need it all in a few hours as the ground will just run must of off. We need a long protracted synoptic rain event

The drought continues to intensify with another precip fail yesterday. We need a full scale pattern change or things could start to get serious. If your starting to see color change on trees it’s likely due to drought stress

Absolutely epic in every regard. Another storm that shows how far we have to go with intensity forecasts. Due to the fact that Lorenzo was moving north at the time of peak intensity it will send anomalously long period swell to the east coast. These long period swells (greater then 16 seconds) contain tremendous energy and are capable of producing beach wash overs. (And fun waves for those in the know)

another day another precip fail

Could be like the great gale of 1988 for them. That caused prolific damage.

I think they find lower winds (130sh) but a deeper pressure 930ish based on its size

.02” in wantagh. Another major fail

To be expected, though it looks like everyone gets at least some rain. At this point any rain at all is welcome.

Waves for days for east coast surfers. Factoring in swell decay it will not be huge, but some long period groundswell that can be focused at local spots should provide plenty of rideable surf. With the travel distance the long period swell 16+ seconds will have a chance to filter and arrive before the mid period swell. Something you see on the west coast with Southern Hemisphere swells. A rarity for the east coast

I really really hope we get some rain today, if we do not we are getting close to a damaging drought on the south shore we’re actual trees begin to die.

Yeah, that seems about right. The amazing thing about. Swell with periods of 15+ seconds is the amount of energy they contain. Their wave lengths are huge comparatively as is their speed. The start feeling bottom in deep water and bend and refract based on local bathemotry. So some breaks will seem relatively small and closed out, and other that can focus swell bigger. So your 4’ swell at 17 seconds quickly becomes a 10’ breaking wave. Points are the way to go on that type of swell. Lucky for me on of the best on the east coast south of RI happens to be clos

I was thinking it’s only a matter of time before they have a major hit. Sitting so close to the 26c line, with that line moving north. Kind of like Hawaii. Safe in the past, screwed in the future. And this thing is going to be a prolific swell machine for the entire North Atlantic.

Lorenzo should be a prolific swell producer. Huge size and lots of captured fetch before it fully recurves. Obviously there will be major swell decay but I think this one puts out some big numbers with 16/17 second swell for us next week.

There’s really not much to disrupt. This could easily open back up. If anything ever comes from Karen it will be after it passes PR

I believe it’s a combo of warmer local water temps and less arctic sea ice. There is not a lag in cold air build in the arctic which effects down stream weather.

.11” at both the park and here in wantagh. That’s absolutely not going to cut it. The only thing we have going for us to prevent a crippling drought is the lower evaporation rates and the end of the growing season.

Really, really dry at home on the south shore. Trees starting to drop leaves. It’s a little better on the uws. I’ll be shocked, but of course happy if we crack .10” tonight.

Absolute nightmare pattern for anyone involved in horticulture. Another predicted precip event bites the dust at the last minute. Upton removed amounts from my point and click

Yup, we’ll be lucky to see three drips

Amazingly Humberto caused more beach erosion and washovers then Dorian. This is due to swell periods being significantly higher (16 vs 12 seconds) which contain much more energy. Yesterday at Jones Beach I surfed some of the biggest waves since Bill. Easily some 12 foot sets. Today was smaller in the 8 foot range on the bigger sets. Most interesting to me was the refraction occurring off the Hudson Canyon yesterday which led to waves moving in from the west!!!!! And, please please rain!

East. Long period swells have the ability to bend and refract some areas will be bigger or smaller then expected. Really comes down to local knowledge in regards to what areas will and will not see bigger waves. If I were up in NE I would be looking for points.

12/10 Very warm fall incoming

Swells from Humberto were increasing this morning and should peak Friday with some 8 foot waves. It should rival Dorian in size as Humberto has a huge wind field this morning. The swell being generated now will arrive then as it’s takes time to travel. thats really the only interesting thing going on weather wise. I’m sure everyone’s sick of hearing me complain about having to water!!

Looks like another Bermuda threat. And another prolific swell producer for the east coast.

Could be the snowiest home on the east coast. Summers have got to be incredible too with temps barely above 80 even during heat waves