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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Varying between moderate and heavy on the uws. Still having trouble overcoming the warm ground
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Yeah this is going to surprise everyone. Rates will quickly cover everything and then it’s off to the races
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just started accumulating on the uws. Moderate snow. That band offshore is incredible
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The thing is it’s going to ripping in the main band during the evening commute. It may only be a 5 mile wide area, but when it’s snowing 2-3”/hr it’s going cause a nightmare commute regardless of final totals
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Those rates would easily get the job done
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Winds are going north now. That should start to drop temps out there
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, huge bust potential either way. someone is going to snow 4” an hour (short term) under the convective band this afternoon
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    And like that it’s snowing on the uws! We are going big today
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just drizzle on the uws. Going up on top of building to see if it’s snow on top of the Nordstrom tower at 1500’
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Can’t wait to hear what Mitch got! It’s going to be a long week waiting to get up there!! Tuff living on the coast. 0 at home .5” at work in NYC
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, I have a feeling this is a big winners and losers day. Someone has a surprise 8” all out snow storm and someone has scraps and a coating
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    One thing to watch for the coast is the wind direction. It’s going to be tuff to get temps low enough for accumulations until the wind goes North. I’m thinking 1-2” at home on the south shore and 3-5” at work on the far UWS where I’ll be posting from. Be careful using snow maps as your source for QPF and where banding sets up. There is more further East that could be shown as rain that may actually be snow
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    40 in wantagh with a NE wind
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It ripped for about 20 min in the city, monster flakes with a peak rate probably 2”/hr ended up getting .5” from that. I made a big pile to see if I could get it to last until tomorrow. The joys of snow removal
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Agreed, in the era of blockbuster storms clobbered would be something like the deform band in feb 06 which dumped something like 18” in the park alone. That’s not happening even in the perfect scenario tomorrow. i still like 2-8” for the park tomorrow
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I’m expecting a tuff day of snow removal tomorrow. Today was a breeze with half an inch that’s washing away. I’ll be able to plow away some of the leaves that are still falling! someone is in for a big big surprise tomorrow
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There’s not going to be any sleet with that band. It’s cold aloft but warm at the surface. Your going to need it to rip for the surface temps to crash and snow to accumulate. Your going to lose some qpf to rain
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Pouring on the uws, it’s got to be incredibly nasty where temps are still below freezing with this batch of heavy precip
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    That could easily be underdone in the city if we end up in the right band, or it could be the complete opposite. Big time now cast tomorrow
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Monster parachutes!!!
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I have 100% snow on 120th and broadway
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Moderate snow now with accumulation on the uws!!
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Sleet on the uws with a glaze of freezing rain on colder surfaces
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    There is an obs thread i think the best bet for the city and coast is to set expectations low and hope for banding to setup tomorrow further east the forecast. As of right now this has the hallmarks of many storms pre 2000. You want to be as far NW as possible
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I think it’s a function of the mid levels being warmer then expected. Not a good sign for round one
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