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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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Absolutely incredible at Jones beach right now. Swell just filled in to meet the strong offshores, the spray off the waves is going 100 feet in the air. Winds are too strong to surf currently
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Stayed at my dads in south wantagh last night “just in case”, just woke up to basement flooding and a couple large branches down in the backyard. The basement flooding makes sense. What doesn’t are the branches, winds are currently light
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The park will have trouble cracking 90 for a while after several inches of rain.
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My dad called me this morning to tell me he put away his outdoor furniture and to ask what I thought. In his defense he had major damage from Isaias. The general public isn’t spending time analyzing models like we are. The strongest winds should stay out in eastern Suffolk where even there, there will be minimal impacts. Flash flooding will be the take away from this one.
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It’s only a matter of time before a long track MDR formed major gets caught in that sling shot. Had Isais been a major at its Carolina landfall we would have had wind gusts over 100mph. Hardwood trees fail around 90mph something we have just avoided. Complete Puerto Rico style destruction of the power grid and potentially hundreds of billions to bury all the new lines. Great weather week overall! Last night was awesome, unfortunately tonight’s threat is doa
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Best storm at Jones beach in a few years. Full on sand storm. I’ll post vids later
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Mountains disrupt the low level center of established storms. Less organized weaker storms can sometimes make it through the mountains or, be completely torn apart: I wasn’t referring to the mountains of Cuba or Hispaniola though. I was referring to the environment of the eastern Caribbean which tends to be hostile for a number of reasons
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Agreed. Good luck with that track at this time of year. That’s a tuff area even during peak climo
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It’s gotten really dry recently here on the uws. Soil moisture is non existent. Hence why we are seeing the park reasonably close to other stations
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Way way way early. That’s a decently mixed 70 too. We are loosing our cool water hurricane buffer as water temps are now peaking near 80. Once we get constant 80 it’s a game changer for hurricane threats
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Absolutely absurdly hot in the city right now. Growing up on the south shore was a blessing.
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They aren’t breaking records; they are smashing them. It’s like a guy hitting 100 home runs in a season
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South shore of Nassau and parts of the city as well. Should have a couple more shots for the next few hours but unlikely
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Unbearably hot on the UWS after spending the weekend working at Jones Beach. The difference in temps in our region in early summer are pretty incredible
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The Park is maintained by the Central Park Conservancy which has its own budgets and employees. (I have a coworker who worked as a horticulturist there and insists it’s incredibly corrupt). Meanwhile the sea breeze just started cranking at Jones Beach on one of the earliest full capacity crowds (air show not included) I have seen. Just mayhem here life guarding. At least the temp has dropped significantly.
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That was further South and multi year. It also had the whole improper plowing farm issue. Not saying this doesn’t intensify into something to rival that, but it’s apples and oranges now and more overhype
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Not exactly. The chances for big storms are high but overall snowfall isn’t that incredible being coastal and at a latitude not much further north then Portland. They are often on the east rainy side of systems coming up the coast. If you want a snowy location look for elevation or down wind of the Great Lakes.
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Feast or famine, that’s our new normal.
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Nice weather is open to debate. All get ridiculously hot. Florida has cat 5 potential and Texas ef5
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About time. Last nights rains were definitely beneficial. Soil moisture has really been dropping as new plantings I have done we’re starting to wilt with irrigation not on yet for the season.
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That April 1923 reading of 12 is extremely suspect. That has to be in the .0001% return rate and most likely the most extreme low ever recorded in NYC if true
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I tend to agree with this. I remember several MCS as a kid that were damaging across the whole area. There was one in particular in April late 90s that had some good hail.
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At lease we got some blocking this winter. The worst is when it’s warm all winter and we flip to a cool dreary spring with a mega -NAO.