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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. Hopefully we get some strong storms for some solid rain. We are starting to flash to drought. Gone are the days of nice even precipitation distribution. Feast or famine
  2. That would be great. We need the rain as things have really dried out the last couple weeks city, east. And. To break the monotony of one of the most boring weather periods possible.
  3. Exactly what I’m hoping for. We have had serious cold and snow in Vermont the last few Novembers. I distinctly remember thinking, wow this is more like mid winter conditions only multiple occasions. That through out west means business currently. But the rubber band can snap quick.
  4. I was just thinking the exact same thing. There’s only so much water they can pump at any given time. I’m starting to get a little nervous about the early season. Hopefully we see a snap to much colder in November that we have seen in recent years
  5. On the positive side of things the extension of the growing season is pretty cool. M vegetable gardens are still producing nicely. Annuals stay healthy now well into November. Assuming we do not have one of those shock Arctic outbreaks. We went from full growing season to the teens in 18/19.
  6. Our precipitation patterns have become increasingly volatile. After the extremely wet summer we have dried out again. Any fall color you see from the city south and east is from water stressed trees. Tough times to be in the horticulture field.
  7. Not surprising with the secondary peak. I would Be shocked if we do not see another major somewhere in the Caribbean before the end of the season
  8. That’s insane. They are just getting into the city. I did an invasive species tour in morning side park last Friday for students and we killed as many as we could find in the tree of heaven. There were maybe 10 per tree.
  9. Clearly weakening again as it moves over cooler waters. I agree though it likely peaked around 120mph yesterday evening though.
  10. I have always theorized that the Gulf Stream limits upwelling as warm water is moving fast. I think that may have aided Sam in reaching near maximum possible intensity given water temps. Overall a true classic MDR hurricane. Had it been a couple hundred miles west it would be an all timer.
  11. Feels more like an august rainy day then October on the uws part of what I believe is our new climate. With arctic sea ice dwindling it takes longer for the Arctic to cool in autumn and cool downs less likely and less intense.
  12. Big swell periods 17 seconds are just starting to show on the offshore buoys. It’s the period that matters most for washovers. Anything over 14 seconds but especially 17 seconds. They contain the most energy and are moving the fastest, kinds like mini tsunamis.
  13. Last thing that place needed. I actually had a good time when I went. I kept my expectations extremely low, and it was fun to ride off season
  14. If only you were are surfer. The term “fish storm” does not apply. I’ll throw in ocean front home owner too, during Bill there were serious wash-overs and beach erosion from a storm that stayed offshore https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Bill_(2009)
  15. Another prolific swell producer. Larry was a top 5 all time swell for me. This looks in that ball park
  16. Finally a heavy rain threat that underperformed likely due to the fact that there is no tropical storm or hurricane origin. had some brief flooding on campus but pretty run of the mill
  17. There are actually several Palm species that can survive our winters. The most notable is the Windmill Palm. It’s the coldest lows that make the biggest difference. An average winter pre 1980s had a lowest temp averaging around 5. Recently it’s been more like 15.
  18. Great find Bluewave. Tremendous work by Tom Anderson. With continued learning accuracy will increase further. I’m not sure there is much hope for indigenous communities in regards to sea ice however. Villages are literally falling into the sea as a result of erosion caused by the lack of sea ice. Talk about disparity’s in climate change effects on given community’s.
  19. They are just starting to make into western Nassau. I have found a few on the UWS. They are bad news.
  20. Your adding extra insulation into the system that would normally be reflected into space by ice.
  21. September is the new august and October the new September. It’s pretty hard to cool down early with the lack of sea ice slowing arctic cooling.
  22. I highly doubt the wind caused the outage. Just run of the mill SW wind with sea breeze enhancement. And to answer your other comment, Long Island is much more prone to surge flooding then freshwater rainfall flooding.
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