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LongBeachSurfFreak

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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak

  1. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I wouldn’t use absolute air temps and obviously the Park. If you add dews and use the real feel temp, it’s been plenty hot. 106 at 55 like in 1936 was more bearable then 98 and 75. I love records too, but they aren’t always accurate as to the human experience.
  2. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Back to my original example, Allison. Obviously a naked swirl at 30 North 50 East that produces a few sheared thunderstorms and an area of 35 knot winds for 12 hours isn’t worthy of a name. That same storm pre satellite wouldn’t have been noticed.
  3. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Glad I at least put in the cool weather veggies. This week looks like optimal growing conditions. Still holding off on the hot weather loving plants, like Tomatoes and annuals.
  4. LongBeachSurfFreak
    You’re totally missing the point, this isn’t about IMBY. It’s about tropical storms having the potential to cause huge monitory damages. Even name retirement. We can talk about nor Easter vs. tropical system damage potential all day in the NYC forum. They are completely different animals and pose very different damage risks.
  5. LongBeachSurfFreak
    A TD couldn’t produce the size and intensity of flooding that Allison produced. You need the lift produced by the dynamics of a deeper low pressure. Regardless, the point I’m trying to make is that some of the most damaging storms monetarily were tropical storms. Thats especially true in the North East. Dianne, Agnes, Floyd and Irene were all tropical storms in the NE all produced catastrophic damage.
  6. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Ask Texas about Tropical storm Allison.
  7. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly, that was a testament to the record sea surface temps. Had we had water temps similar to the 80s you would be looking at 5-10 named.
  8. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I absolutely DO NOT want this in July it would be 100+ here right now. Some of us have to work outside…
  9. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just got back from the beach where as expected it was chilly right on the ocean. The thermal gradient was so tight that it was 10 degrees or so warmer up on the boardwalk.
  10. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Nice, I almost went the finance route but found Econ more science like. Either way, I’m a horticulturalist now! Heading down to the beach, temp just shot up here in lynbrook.
  11. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Exactly. That’s why I think you need to combine the computing power of quantum computers with AI to get there. Just too many possibilities. As for math, yeah meteorology is a math degree. I’ll pass on desecrate math and theoratical equations. I just barely handled the math to get an economics degree.
  12. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Still requires a human element. AI isn’t even close to there yet. I’d say closer to 2050 then 2030. The real wild card is quantum computing. Currenlty waiting for the sun and heading to the beach for nice run.
  13. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Regardless of why he was closer to the actual number, absolutely no one on earth called that mid season shutoff. My concern is we see a return of those conditions this year. If it hadn’t been for the record water temps extending the season last year, it would have been rather unremarkable.
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Our climate then was closer to present day Boston. Now more like Baltimore back then.
  15. LongBeachSurfFreak
    The wind really picked up in the last 2 hours. Must be an Ambrose jet type event.
  16. LongBeachSurfFreak
    It’s just putting off the inevitable. West winds will just keep upwelling more and more cold water. So when the flow does turn onshore again, the sea breeze will have a bite, even here in Lynbrook. Just spent a couple hours installing my cool weather veggies. I waited until after last night as we had a shot at mid 30s which isn’t good for any tender young plants. Obviously not the best radiating location, but we do radiate more then the city.
  17. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Especially this year with the water being colder then normal do to all the offshore flow and upwelling. This pattern will not do much to warm the water either. May be a chilly start to the beach season once the flow switches back to consistently onshore.
  18. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Top of the line spring day today. Just finished a 5 mile hike. Living on the south shore really makes you appreciate any real spring weather as we often skip right to summer…
  19. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Just had a pretty strong gust that threw around some stuff in my backyard. I’d say close to what we had yesterday.
  20. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Convection produced and more in line with a STW instead of a widespread multi hour wind event. That’s what I think the NWS was going for.
  21. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Solid forecast. I think we see a Felix/dean style Caribbean cruiser this year. The OHC is off the charts and due for some heat reduction through hurricane induced upwelling.
  22. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Absolutely the definition of misery mist currently on the south shore. High 30s gusty north wind and sheet drizzle. It almost (looks) like light snow.
  23. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Could be a good setup for US landfalls as TW coming off Africa wait longer to develope. Less chance for early recurvature. The NE Caribbean is especially really overdue for another Irma type powerhouse.
  24. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Some nice high spots that are a doable commute to NYC.
  25. LongBeachSurfFreak
    Allot of the time the guys doing the snow removal do not have a deep understanding of the weather. Just wasting salt and damaging the environment in this case. Any snow left on the road after plowing will melt in quickly melt in April as insulation makes it right through the clouds.
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