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AppsRunner

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by AppsRunner

  1. AppsRunner
    I haven't looked at any guidance tonight but DEN recorded 0.12" in an hour while the temperature was -9F so clearly this storm will overperform.
  2. AppsRunner
    Made this one myself, hope you enjoy.
  3. AppsRunner
    Yep, and now I only know how to forecast NW flow jet bands and upslope. But now who will tell me my TAFs are bad?
  4. AppsRunner
    That's not particularly surprising. The ARW cores have that tendency vs NMM. We see it a lot in Colorado. I wouldn't put much faith into it anyways since it's the SREF but it sure is fun to look at sometimes
  5. AppsRunner
    Quick, someone post the new SREF
  6. AppsRunner
    Early trends are... not great, unless you want it to snow in Cleveland.
  7. AppsRunner
    I thought this storm was already over?
  8. AppsRunner
  9. AppsRunner
    The ECM ensemble continue a slightly weaker/slower evolution through the Ohio valley and is at least a slight jog east. The STL-IND-DTW track feels like a reasonable middle ground for now. I'll still take the over for ALEK.
  10. AppsRunner
    This run did not show exactly what I wanted, so it is clearly wrong.
  11. AppsRunner
    Proud of the GFS for managing to be west of the NAM
  12. AppsRunner
    Outside of Tuesday the long range pattern looks hot through the majority of September. How far will we go into October before we see snow?
  13. AppsRunner
    That small circulation just to the west of KLOT looks like trouble. No obvious TDS but its also got 90kt at 450ft so it's gonna produce damage one way or the other.
  14. AppsRunner
    Arguably stronger winds behind the main line, DVN gust to 75kt a few minutes ago.
  15. AppsRunner
    Again back by Des Moines, but getting some better resolution photos out there.
  16. AppsRunner
    The ratio of sig severe gusts in this has been extremely impressive. This has to be a high risk upgrade at some point soon. They put out the 1630 update early, surely an early-issue 20z high is in the cards.
  17. AppsRunner
    Local Storm Report by NWS DVN: 4 ENE Shellsburg [Linn Co, IA] emergency mngr reports TSTM WND DMG at 12:58 PM CDT -- estimated gusts over 100 mph with multiple campers blown over, along with the shelter roof at the park blown off.
  18. AppsRunner
    Taken back in Luther, but this in that area of 110kt velocity northwest of DMX.
  19. AppsRunner
    Seems as if Tama county has had the worst winds so far, EM reporting up to 100mph gusts there. At least for DMX's CWA most of the larger cities (DSM/Ames) have siren activation for any warning with 70+
  20. AppsRunner
    METAR obs. don't show much all the time, especially if it's windy like it is now.
  21. AppsRunner
    You should be able to get ECMWF 850mb DP's on Plymouth's site as well.
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