Cyclone-68

Oh 100% some necessary dynamic would be missing here

MLCAPE of 4500 to 6000 near Fargo ND tomorrow..Yikes..I’d lust for that here. Probably not even feasible in these parts?

40 years since Massachusetts west of the Cape has had a hurricane..Never thought after Gloria (which was largely a disappointment here) it would be 40+ years for the next strike. And I’m not even saying it had to be a Cat 3 at landfall. Ever a weak 2 or strong 1 would have been fine. Is a 40 year drought like that typical around here?

So….NYC and vicinity getting hit with severe for the 87th time this summer…What else is new

Damn Canadians ruining our summa

I could get into some flooding lol

What a disappointment today. I didn’t predict I’d get a tstorm but except from 1:30 to 3:30 today it was a complete no show almost everywhere. In other words I thought there might have been a few more around. Missed me and then shut off very quickly

Just like last year, we get to listen to rumbles to our south all afternoon long

I have a gut feeling my area gets clipped with this line and that’s all for me the rest of the duration

Let’s get a tropical system to follow

Some close strikes and big bangs here. Rain is torrential..But nothing too extraordinary as of this minute

Route 2 or…..route “screw”? And yes I’ll let you use that lol

Supposedly nothing was to happen before 4pm anyway

Northeast... Weak to moderate instability is forecast to develop across the Northeast through mid afternoon as the airmass continues to destabilize. Midday surface analysis indicates temperatures are warming into the 80s with dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower 70s. As the cold front advances east into this uncapped airmass, scattered thunderstorms should develop. Shear of 30 to 35 knots and relatively long/straight hodographs will support the potential for supercells. Weak mid-level lapse rates will be the primary limiting factor for large hail, but the overall favorable shear with strong venting aloft and potential supercells may support some isolated large hail. Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat, both from initial cells and also from any clusters which develop. Any stronger clusters with bowing segments could support a better organized damaging wind swath. The greatest wind damage threat will likely exist from western Massachusetts to far southern Maine.

Latest two day still has SNE under the gun from whatever results tomorrow

I need something tropical to track…Even if it landfalls in Canada for the 10th year in a row

Gotta say it’s been many a year since I’ve seen water like this…Its what makes this hobby so damn interesting

Well this is disconcerting: By Tuesday, ensemble guidance suggests increasing heat, with a 4050% chance of high temperatures exceeding 90 degrees across southern New England on both Tuesday and Wednesday. While there is no clear signal for widespread precipitation during the middle of next week, the typical slight chance for a diurnal thunderstorm remains possible

Definitely..We were good for one or two episodes like last night every summer

It sure has been a while…I was ready again to chock this up to my 195th consecutive miss 10 miles to the south

Holy crap. Two VERY close lightning strikes near me

Lots of lightning and thunder here..Nearly constant to the SW

The Cape will probably get their 3rd tornado in four years at the rate it’s going

Kent…Birthplace of Seth MacFarlane..Don’t know why I remember that

I’m taking one in the Mediterranean in October and hoping for the same