Definitely not an expert like Scott but gotta figure in lieu of recent developments that our chances tonight are better than the faux tornado watch from the other day for thunderstorms
I remember growing up in the late 70’s and 80’s that Worcester Cty would get absolutely nailed at least a few times a summer and usually an F1 or F2 tornado as well
Looks like the NWS expanded the Enhanced risk all the way into central MA as well as the 10% tornado prob. Slight risk expanded for the rest of SNE except the Cape
Edit: STP values of 1.5 to 3 whoa
As was already mentioned up thread, lapse rates and absence of an EML would/should? dampen anyone’s expectations tomorrow. Have we ever had a significant event in the region in the absence of both of those?