The usual doubts apply but mentioning it anyway:
KEY MESSAGE 3...Strong to severe thunderstorms possible by Tue with
perhaps a better potential by Wed but a lot needs to be sorted out.
Quite the ways out there...especially for a convective forecast.
That being said...there are some signals for potentially strong to
severe thunderstorms later Tue and perhaps a better chance by Wed.
This will be dependent upon the timing of a cold front...but given
anomalous/near record warmth the potential is there. In fact...much
of our machine learning guidance indicates some modest severe
weather probabilities for a Day 4-5 forecast...so this is certainly
something to watch.