jayyy

One last hurrah late next weekend? Yes please!

What you said here and the comment before this was completely uncalled for and you should be ashamed of yourself. You are not being a troll. You’re being a dick. There’s a big difference. As somebody who’s been here a long while, his input is far more valued and listened to than yours. I can assure you of that. Come on man. Take your lack of snow misery out on somebody who cares or post your nonsense in the banter thread / panic room. @losetoa6 is a class act and has a plethora of knowledge - which he happily shares with the greater masses. What exactly do you contribute that you feel you can treat a veteran member in such a manner? Besides endless doomsday prediction and plugging your personal webpage that nobody in here has joined. If I’m not mistaken, losetoa6 has roughly 45” of snow on the year - which is what? 4x your annual snowfall to date? It’s not a competition, but the point is that nearly every single storm has gone his way. We’ve watched storm after storm look bad for our area, just to trend our direction around day 5-6. Why would he simply give up on a storm / winter as a whole when it’s been one of the best around our parts since 2010? Over 30” fell here in roughly 20 days. We had over a month of consecutive snow cover. No offense man, but unlike you, we are not mentally exhausted or defeated from chasing digital snow that never came to fruition. It did here. Why not keep tracking until our chances are truly dead in the water? There’s nothing to lose and a 50” season (during a Niña winter nonetheless) to gain. That may not matter much to your miserable self, but here’s a news flash…. he (and the weather) don’t care about your feelings. Loseto is excellent at sniffing out the mid range threat, is solid at evaluating trends, and could literally dance circles around you on the nitty gritty details of a particular storm or pattern. You seem to gather what others have to say, pick the worst case scenario, and then make people pay to read it. Do yourself a giant favor. Grow up a bit, get yourself together, and show some damn respect to somebody who is both a good guy and valued member of this forum. Lashing out at him out of snow jealousy is just plain sad dude.

Let it stay suppressed for another few days and then bring on the NW trend. Come on baby. You’ve got one left in the tank!

Oh it showed up. The TPV location just ruined it for our area and kept it over the plains and upper mid west. Chicago has been very cold for almost 2 months and that cold in Texas that broke their infrastructure was modeled to be ours a week beforehand. The lack of snow in the dc bal metros isn’t that simple however. If that dominating Arctic air did take aim at us instead of the Plains, we wouldn’t have had storm take track after track to our SE. Suppression would have been the name of the game and we would have said congrats to Richmond and the Carolinas all season long. Nothing ever quite timed up correctly this year. It’s a shame - because it had the opportunity to be an epic Niña winter.

32.8 Heavy snow 1.2” on the board.

Heaviest snow of the event so far. Flakes are just huge.

Told ya

Definitely 1”+ on the deck / car top. Stickage to all surfaces as well, which surprisingly includes clear view rd (0.25 mile before the UB/taneytown border)

We may be able to squeeze 2” out of this before the flip. Rain snow line isn’t remotely budging our way. Actually, last frame shows it still slowly pushing ESE. Rates and radar are impressive

My brother in west ellicott city just flipped to mainly snow. My buddy in old ellicott city (east) said it’s a rain/snow mix looks like the line is flirting with 70/29. Shocker

I know this won’t last very long, but woof Enormous flakes - bordering heavy snow - 32.8 F

It’s only gonna get better in about ten minutes. Just wait for it!

Incoming Carroll county & northern Baltimore county crew…. It’s about to get real out there. Snow intensity picking up rapidly.

Moderate snow - huge flakes. Really nice returns heading up the middle of MD. Man, give me a few hours of this and I’ll be happy.

I honestly haven’t had a moment to check out any guidance the past few days. Radar looks solid. Too bad it isnt 5 degrees colder!

Some decent snow falling! Wow. Def wasn’t expecting that

Models have been signaling at this storm for about a week now. This was the storm I was referring to when I said @psuhoffman would likely hit 60” by the 7th. I actually really like the 5-7th window for a potential final biggie. It’ll be a small window, but if we can thread the needle, look out. Especially in N/NW zones.

Now all we need is a triple phaser

I actually think we’ve got a decent shot at a few inches up our way if moisture does actually come in overnight. We keep seeing storms that start later than models predict (5am instead of 1 am) which of course makes a huge difference as far as accumulations are concerned. Hope this one starts at 11p-12a and gives us a Good chunk of time without any sun.

So you’re saying there’s a chance

Next year is your guys year! I’m feeling it. The year of off-shore/East tracking coastal that hits 95 on east and fringes NW areas. Can’t remember which years that happened in the early 2000s (I was living in NY), but I recall a few years in a row where NYC LI and coastal NJ got hit and my area and places NW kept seeing advisory level snowfall. 3-6” at my house in stony point and 12+ On the island with 18+ in Boston was very common. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a winter like that. It may be coming sooner than later. I don’t think what we’re seeing this year is the new normal. I think it was just a crap ton of bad luck for the 95 area. Perfect track after perfect track with one or two ingredients missing. I know my brother feels it was a literal battle to get to 20”. You guys are due!

Fully agree. It’s a shame too, because the potential was there for a decent number of good area wide snowfalls if just a few really small things went differently. A degree here, a slight shift in the track of the 850 low there. Believe they had 4 warnings issued along 95 that didn’t verify by about 15-20 miles. My brother has around 22” on the season just west of the turf valley area in ellicott city, but they could easily have 30-35 with a few small tweaks in each system. Considering this winter was supposed to be god awful, I’d say it’s been pretty darn good. Yes, more so for our areas than 95, but there’s been a good number of days with winter weather this year; something we didn’t think would happen a few months ago. Hope next year is a monster for the 95 crew. They deserve it after the past 5 years.

That would definitely explain it. I guess it’s possible you got caught between banding during some of these storms, but that’s pretty unlikely to the tune of 10+ inches on the season. 35 def. seems a bit low compared to your surroundings when seasonal totals are 40”+ on both sides of ya. Feels like you’re missing about 6” from your total - perhaps a missed storm when you were away. I’m at roughly 600, so you’ve definitely got a little elevation on me, hence the confusion! I will say though… We have gotten really lucky here near the Frederick / Carroll county border with solid banding nearly every storm. I don’t have Thurmont type lift, but we’ve been lucky with QPF all season long not too Far East of there. Emmitsburg has been in the jack area all season - this season we have gotten lucky to be on the eastern flank of that jackpot, when in years past we normally get caught between areas of lift to our east and west. Going to enjoy it while I can! The 95 crew is due for a big season with East tracking coastals soon enough.

You’ll get there. Not by Saturday, but by March 7th. That’s my guess.