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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    What a turn of events that’d be
  2. jayyy
    Absolutely! Been enjoying the visual for the past hour or so
  3. jayyy
    Read my mind. Bob alluded to this the other day. What happens if the front doesn’t make it as far as modeled? It’d be sweet to see a last minute NW shift as a result but I’m not holding my breath.
  4. jayyy
    My brother just sent a video on his way out of the house. Big flakes mixing in there. Should see some snow for a bit your way but doubt there’s any stickage south of 70
  5. jayyy
    32F, snow. I’ll probably get to 1/2” if I’m lucky.
  6. jayyy
    NWS finally dropped the WWA for 2” (3-4” max) at 7:30 AM and now has “rain to snow, up to 1” on grassy surface. Little late I’d say. Writing has been on the wall, clear as day, for several hours.
  7. jayyy
    Wasnt even close to Being close Heavy snow depicted in the state of Maryland is close. Even if it is the shoreline.
  8. jayyy
    Here you go. Looks like it corrected the problem
  9. jayyy
    Same obs. here. Best rates so far occurring as we speak IMBY. Looks lovely out there. Give me another hour or two of fatty flakes and a nice ground whitening and I’ll be happy at this point
  10. jayyy
    20% is probably optimistic indeed, but I believe that’s the max threshold for “slight” chances — 1-20% chance There are a few members that still attempt to give the area some snow, especially 95 and east, but yeah, the windows closing.
  11. jayyy
    Eyeing the Columbia to Annapolis corridor for heavy snow over the next hour or two. Far enough SE to see heavier returns with the rain snow line collapsing nearby. It won’t stick but hey, it’ll look pretty outside for a wee bit
  12. jayyy
    Snowing nicely out there - 33 degrees At least I got to see moderate snow falling at sunrise
  13. jayyy
    Good point. Add it to the list of things we need to unfold just right to get accumulating snow around these parts!
  14. jayyy
    Rain / snow line is collapsing quickly in C MD but we won’t have much precip left to capitalize. Guess we can enjoy the hour or two of fatty flakes
  15. jayyy
    It’s doing the Paul Simon….
  16. jayyy
    Yep. My offspring is in HS and she was excited for a snow day. Totally forgot about middle and elementary schools
  17. jayyy
    Well… it’s mostly snowing.. precip is like gone though, so
  18. jayyy
    Ah. Yeah my daughters in HS. Got this at 8pm last night
  19. jayyy
    HoCo’s been closed since last night friend. It was a half day to begin with and they caved early last night
  20. jayyy
    In the short term… sure. But we still have at least a few more potential threats to track over the next few weeks. As PSU said a week or two ago, our best chances will come in the 21st-28th window when we have a more ideal setup for a coastal storm to develop. Definitely would have been nice to cash in on a few inches from this one today with models primarily showing us below freezing for the next week to allow snowpack to hang around, but we can’t win em all I guess.
  21. jayyy
    Yeeeep. Can easily see how the GFS’s solution from yesterday could have unfolded if cold air got here like 2 hours earlier, but the timing just isn’t right. Oh well. Ended up being exactly what models showed a few days ago. A mainly rain to snow nothing-burger. On to next Tuesday!
  22. jayyy
    Outside of the front magically stalling out and sending that train of shortwaves toward us we aren’t getting anywhere close to verifying our advisory lmao
  23. jayyy
    Probably wasn’t the best move for us to bank on the GFS in this setup for sure. It’s been the king so far this season, but we also haven’t seen a frontal wave rain to snow setup before today. This setup is more in the wheelhouse of models like the hi res NAM since we’re talking about a potential for rain to heavy snow at 32-33 degrees. Minute details mean everything, which isn’t exactly the GFS’s specialty.
  24. jayyy
    Certainly appears that way. May very well come down to models being just to 1-2 hours off on the arrival of cold air. Unless that R/S line starts hauling ass, I’m not sure we see more than an hour or two of wet snow that doesn’t stick to roadways. Bummer. My son up at the Mount in Emmitsburg just texted and said they’re currently seeing a rain/snow mix
  25. jayyy
    To the naked eye, timing wise, it looks like the best dynamics may be east of us by the time the flip occurs. Snow/rain line getting stonewalled around the BR. Need that sucker to starting pushing SE. Seeing heavy precip roll in now with some nice yellows and dark greens in DC proper. Should help the cause and cool the column down. Have to hope there’s enough juice left in the tank for us to cash in a quick couple of inches. Not looking likely though
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