jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Still seeing heavy snow up this way but if you’re mixing in Urbana, I expect pingers by 8 pm by me
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My brother said it’s about 50-50 snow/sleet in OEC. Sleet in Columbia. Pingers imminent for sure. 70 acts as a bit of a barrier with increased elevation north of it, but Expecting snow until about 8 here before we flip as well.
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That’s how forecasting typically goes for our CWA my friend. They upgrade / downgrade totals mid storm during almost every storm. Makes sense given how on the cusp we typically are. I do agree though - where they cut off the eastern London line is a bit silly
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When it begins pounding with giant flakes, the mix line isn’t far behind sadly. Same thing occurred further south. I expect another hour of snow up your way
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Incorrect. 2-4” with up to 6” lollies which is spot on
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I mean.. your advisory is for 2-4” and then mixed precip. Looks like it verified unless you flip back to snow.
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Couple miles off then. Mix line is pretty close to leesburg on that radar - and it was snapped about 10 min ago
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This Radar looks spot on as far as the mix line is concerned. Rapidly moving north but also getting stonewalled east of the BR
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#HoldingStrong
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Might get to 5-6” before the flip at this rate.
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Are those road closures? Ouch
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Should be able to verify our warning before the flip. That line is finally starting to march quickly now
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Think it’s likely an initial thump of fatties before a quick changeover based on OBS
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NAM already busted lmao HEAVY cold smoke - 22 degrees
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That moon angle!
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Awesome!
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Wonder if that’s sleet.
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I know some folks like to rely on models like the HRRR & RAP mid storm, which can be useful for a point of reference no doubt, but I tend to watch pressure maps and the radar like a hawk during storms. Nowcasting is the most reliable tool during game time for me. Even when things unfold as expected, it’s exciting to watch.
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Lovely. Map?
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Yeah man, I think my area over to yours is in for a nasty evening of ice. Zero doubt our mid levels get rekt, but the surface? Hard time seeing us climbing above freezing
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I think that’s exactly what models have been showing. The low getting somewhere near the coast and then being pulled due NW after being captured by that NS feature. If only the low could beat the NS feature to the punch and continue ENE. We’d be so money.
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100%. Have a big feeling places W of DC (longitude wise) may ice worse than we originally anticipated. Cold air is hanging in tough.
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Imagine we could get that energy to transfer off the coast - as Pann alluded to earlier. Less than a 1% chance of that happening but man, imagine a bust in our favor mid storm? That’d be epic. Anyway… very much enjoying what’s occurring out there right now. Give me the 4-7” in my WSW and I’ll be happy as a clam (no RR, not that kind )
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Have a feeling that my area on west may be in for a nasty icing later on. The cold is having a really tough time getting eroded out, even places SW of here. Thinking we have until at least 7-8pm for snow and then we go icy. Doubt we see much rain up this way
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With another 2 potentials on its heels by next weekend. Amazing pattern for our area
