jayyy

Wait, we have a storm to track for thurs - fri? yeeeees

Stop dude. Reports of a foot plus all over coastline. The 10-18” warning verified

Not yet! Waiting for daylight to take it all in. Can’t wait!

27mph sustained with 42 gusts currently. Will worsen over the next several hours.

630 AM obs: heavy snow, 22.5F, 10.5” 27mph sustained NW wind with 42mph Gusts - asbury park, nj ———- Anxious to hear reports from the folks on here who went up to Atlantic City to chase. They’ve been deathbanded for hours.

gracias amigo! Well worth it so far.

Guilty. I chased. And drank. Good times.

I’m not home. I’m in Asbury Park

Appears the 500mb close off and low formation is fairly imminent. Should happen in time to keep us in the game through early afternoon up this way. This thing is going to crawl from off the jersey coast to southern New England as it bombs out.

Cape May NJ - 10” @ 515am Salisbury MD - 7” @ 430 AM Dover DE - 8.5” forked river NJ - 12.5”

They’re at 8.5” in dover. 4-8+ appears to be commonplace

Interestingly enough, temp is a smidge higher here than by you. Must be the cold being wrapped around the backside of the storm. My house is at 18 degrees back in Union bridge. 24 degrees currently up here in NJ. Down 8 degrees from just a few hours ago though. Should get down to 20 by 9AM. My parents 30mi NW of NYC are at 15 degrees

Gotta imagine it’s those bands to your east along the shoreline robbing some of the lift. Similar reports in mid-central jersey despite the radar looking good. Lift is so intense along the coast that it’s sinking sir a bit further inland.

In the next 4/5 hours as the 500mb low closes off, you will likely see the low (and precip shield) get pulled west for a while. It’ll look awfully tempting on radar for places getting fringed right now. Intense lift along the coast is, however, creating a lot of sinking air just inland from these bands. The snow gradient will be absolutely astonishing once this wraps up.

Gotta imagine Cape has done quite well overnight. Banding seems to be getting over there for the most part.

So about 12:30pm here - should begin to see the precip shield being pulled east - however very slowly due to the 500mb capture / close off. Southern New England will be getting destroyed. BOS blizzard warning goes through 5 am Sunday. The storm slows down big time.

Wake up @CAPE! #Meso’d

So close. The 500mb low will close off in the coming 4-5 hours. And then all hell breaks loose from there

24.5F very heavy snow 8.75” 25mph N Tracking 4” per hour rates developing and pushing onshore in the coming hours for nearly the entire NJ coastline on over to the south shore of Long Island. Can clearly see the atmosphere being stretched along the DE and NJ coastline from the low pressure center. As temps crash into the teens, ratios may exceed 20:1 at the height

NE MD into extreme SEPA and interior NJ potentially. Let’s see how it plays out

Fantastic banding spanning from coastal DE up the NJ coastline to NYC / LI. Best part? It’s going to get a whole lot better in the next several hours. Hawking that 500mb low

Got a small cat nap in. Too good to sleep through this. 28F heavy snow 5.25” (2” in the last hour) ~ asbury park As impressive as the snow has been for the last few hours, the worst of it won’t come for another 5-7 hours, when the 500mb low closes off - all as arctic air crashes to the coastline (temps in the mid to upper teens in NEPA & NWNJ) Some signs the 500mb close off could happen sooner than expected. 5am - 10am should be absolutely bonkers.

It’s already crushing NJ. I don’t have to assume anything. I get it now. I forgot. You live in NH. You’re salty over 4-6” as the coast gets slapped. Natural feeling.

500 miles from my house? Cool. Except im in asbury park, NJ this weekend. But hey, keep talkin’. You’re in fugging New Hampshire with a WWA up

If the low truly gets down to the 960s, 18-24” isn’t out of the question between eastern LI and Boston. No storm that deep, intensifying that fast is will be flying up the coast. The 500mb low closing off and tugging the mSLP toward the coast off the jersey shoreline (shown on the NAM and Euro the past few days) is the key to their success. If that doesn’t occur and the low skirts ENE, then you’re onto something for sure. Looking at mid level instability charts, the dynamics in the NE NJ to BOS region are ripe for convective banding. All it takes is roughly 6 hours of 2-3” banding to get them to 12-18”. Seen it happen many times over the years living in the northeast in very similar setups. It all comes down to how quickly this storm travels from VA to south of LI.