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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    So we have potentials on the table for the 14th and 18th. Looks like the latter will likely have a better setup in place but both bear watching. Not a terrible spot to be as far as the euro is concerned for the Valentine’s Day threat. Definitely sucks to keep having to rely on the +PNA to be just right (position and strength) and hoping for an early negative trough tilt. Those timing systems typically end up getting together too late for our latitude (a la the blizzard a few weeks ago) but hey, maybe we get lucky with one or two of these. I’d certainly take a 3-6/4-8” type event out of a pattern like this. As PSU said, we need some luck, which we haven’t had much of this winter.
  2. jayyy
    LES, inland runners, NS waves, SW parade riding the boundary… W NY seems to be the winner every damn time this winter. 84.8 is the annual average at KBUF. They’ll be at 65+ by 2/5. Bastards. Lol. All I want is one coastal hugger tucked off the coast of OCMD. SHEESH.
  3. jayyy
    Looks like the Gfs, Canadian, euro, icon and most other models are pushing the Sunday - Monday threat to the south for now. Out to sea in SEVA / NC. Not great but models also appear to be clueless as to what’s going on in the upper levels. The changes at h5 run to run are pretty drastic, which means we’ll likely see 50 different solutions between now and 00z Saturday. Wouldn’t necessarily get too invested in this one, but it’s worth keep an eye on incase we’re looking better by 0z tomorrow night or Friday. Certainly not going to lose any sleep tracking this one.
  4. jayyy
    It does. However, moving from central Maryland to northern Maryland only does so much when big snowstorms keep occurring 200+ miles in any given direction all season lol. Last year? Your move would have been fruitful. Perhaps the start to this season is our karma for getting 40-50” last year while the metros barely hit double digits. Got very lucky last winter up this way. It’s only early February though, and the time is quickly approaching for a) deeper storms with a likelihood for more coastal huggers b) marginal events with more traditional fall line setups. We’ll catch up, and quickly. Keep the faith! Have a feeling our luck will improve drastically over the coming 6-8 weeks
  5. jayyy
    Yep, a dual high in Virginia and southern New England won’t cut it lol
  6. jayyy
    .3 of ice and 8” of snow? Oh hell yes. Too bad it’ll change 37 times over the next 150 hours lol
  7. jayyy
    I can’t even ask how much for short pump
  8. jayyy
    The middle Atlantic Rule of NAM: 1) if the nam shows a shit solution, it’s likely correct 2) if the nam shows a good solution, it’s incorrect
  9. jayyy
    Now that I think of it, the two storms that worked out well this year IMBY (not including the blizzard I chased like a goddamn psychopath) I didn’t really check the models or forums beforehand. I had zero clue it was going to snow before the 1/3 storm until the watch was hoisted. Perhaps that’s the move to make
  10. jayyy
    Girl, same.
  11. jayyy
    I’d take that 3” total in a New York minute
  12. jayyy
    Nice little mini Boston jack for good measure
  13. jayyy
    And tomorrow it’ll have 3 snowstorms between now and hr 384 and you’ll jump for joy
  14. jayyy
    9” in Dallas lol. Bruh
  15. jayyy
    I didn’t know Florida Alabama Louisiana and Georgia Seceded again
  16. jayyy
    My snow weenie friends who live in Perrysburg OH are losing their minds at this run lol
  17. jayyy
    Banking on the UKMET to lead the way… what could go wrong
  18. jayyy
    Interesting setup. Let’s hope that boundary lands south of us and we see some waves ride along it
  19. jayyy
    Sign me up I’ll take some pretty pink please! Lmao. Of course, even a storm we are depicted to cash in on, Boston and SNE also cash in
  20. jayyy
    Looks like 3, maybe 4”
  21. jayyy
    Finally got a snowstorm? My dude. I live in the mid Atlantic and have similar snow to you on the season. Relax there. I get it. I lived in the Hudson valley and then Buffalo for a combined 32 years. I know what receiving 100+” of snow in a season looks like and I’ve seen my fair share of 2-3 foot storms, but I’m still very humble about each storm based on where I now live. It’s seriously not a competition . It’d be pathetic if you didn’t see more snow than us. We are simply busting your chops for your ridiculous call for a bust before the coastal even got going south of the Carolina’s last night. 12-20” commonplace from OCMD to the jersey coast and 20-30” commonplace in SNE. Lewes reported 14.5 and surrounding areas reported 12, 12.5, 13. Since you understand the weather so well, you’d obviously know that banding creates differences in totals, even in neighboring towns. 14+ in lewes is correct and it’s more than one spotter who reported as such. Come on man. You were wrong. Just admit it and crawl back into your hole in N NH.
  22. jayyy
    How’s that 10-18” call for New England looking? 20-30+“ widespread
  23. jayyy
    Btw @PhineasC, lewes reported 14.5”. So… your 3” observation via cam was ridiculously off
  24. jayyy
    Picked nearly the perfect spot in jersey for this one. Ocean county appears to have jackpotted with multiple 20”+ reports. We totaled 18.5” based on the average of 5 measurements and surrounding OBS. Highest winds hit over 60mph. 2+ foot drifts common. Very impressive storm, no doubt. It was fun while it lasted. I’ll be on my way home tomorrow
  25. jayyy
    Reports of 80mph winds in Barnstable county MASS
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