jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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It’s been sooooo stubborn the past 2-3 days.
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Since 18z most models have surprisingly budged toward the GFS at h5, not the other way around. 00z is gonna be interesting
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Both scenarios make sense depending on how things unfold out West. GFS outcome really isn’t outlandish, but it’s on an island, which makes it harder to believe. Only thing I’d say is that other 18z models moved towards the GFS at H5, not the other way around. Anyone’s guess at this point. 00z should narrow the goal posts
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Back to good snows 9z Monday. What is going on with the GFS? Coastal love?
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Gotta know the GFS very likely isn’t the ultimate outcome, but perhaps something in between the GFS and euro is still possible.
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What’s the RDPS
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Come on GFS, lift up the mood
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Or better yet.. retire…
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Lotta precip to our SW and cold thru 48. Only thing we should be taking away from RGEM. Fools errand using that model after 48 for sure
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The 18z gfs is notoriously moist
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Very, very curious to see the GFS and Ukie’s next run.
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Yeah it is. Noticeably colder than the 12k
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Back down to 44 but briefly hit 50
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We’re overdue for a 60 hour NAMing
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May not be a bad thing. Let’s see
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Takes time to load a good NAMing
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Initial hunch is it’ll be a bit colder but drier. Let’s see
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It’s the correct forecast at this juncture honestly
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That’s the best part about being unreliable.
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HRRR at 38 hours? Why
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Pretty reasonable NWS map honestly. Sure, maybe totals along 95 are a bit risky given the uncertainty around track, but most areas look pretty much in line with the consensus of guidance - including dc and Baltimore.
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Appreciate you cutting that 10-14 contour over my house lol Solid map I’d say. In line with what I’m thinking generally too
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Broken clock is right twice a day! Who am I kidding… euro / cmc vs gfs [emoji22] I’m setting my bar at 8-10 up this way and will hope for the best
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00z Thursday is late Wednesday night’s runs though
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We won’t. And if people around here are mad about 6-10”+ before a flip to sleet that sticks around for 2 weeks, idk what to tell them.
