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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    Just got done with work. Glad to see things primarily held from earlier
  2. jayyy
    It’s output makes sense given what it does over the next 24 hours out west… but boy, is it on an island… let’s see a RAP run like this tomorrow and we’ll maybe be onto something. It has a wicked front end thump
  3. jayyy
    Finally, a suite where all guidance made some adjustments in our direction. Especially important with this storm, as 1-2 degrees at 700 is the difference between heavy sleet and heavy snow after 12z Sunday. I’m primarily looking at Baltimore and its nearby suburbs (Catonsville Columbia etc) as I feel like this area has the widest range of outcomes available to it.
  4. jayyy
    Also, the GFS is wildly consistent. Expect the GEFS to be lit up (albeit way less important)
  5. jayyy
    WSW for 12-18! Bullish
  6. jayyy
    It’s been sooooo stubborn the past 2-3 days.
  7. jayyy
    Since 18z most models have surprisingly budged toward the GFS at h5, not the other way around. 00z is gonna be interesting
  8. jayyy
    Both scenarios make sense depending on how things unfold out West. GFS outcome really isn’t outlandish, but it’s on an island, which makes it harder to believe. Only thing I’d say is that other 18z models moved towards the GFS at H5, not the other way around. Anyone’s guess at this point. 00z should narrow the goal posts
  9. jayyy
    Back to good snows 9z Monday. What is going on with the GFS? Coastal love?
  10. jayyy
    Gotta know the GFS very likely isn’t the ultimate outcome, but perhaps something in between the GFS and euro is still possible.
  11. jayyy
    What’s the RDPS
  12. jayyy
    Come on GFS, lift up the mood
  13. jayyy
    Or better yet.. retire…
  14. jayyy
    Lotta precip to our SW and cold thru 48. Only thing we should be taking away from RGEM. Fools errand using that model after 48 for sure
  15. jayyy
    The 18z gfs is notoriously moist
  16. jayyy
    Very, very curious to see the GFS and Ukie’s next run.
  17. jayyy
    Yeah it is. Noticeably colder than the 12k
  18. jayyy
    Back down to 44 but briefly hit 50
  19. jayyy
    We’re overdue for a 60 hour NAMing
  20. jayyy
    May not be a bad thing. Let’s see
  21. jayyy
    Takes time to load a good NAMing
  22. jayyy
    Initial hunch is it’ll be a bit colder but drier. Let’s see
  23. jayyy
    It’s the correct forecast at this juncture honestly
  24. jayyy
    That’s the best part about being unreliable.
  25. jayyy
    HRRR at 38 hours? Why
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