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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
  2. jayyy
  3. jayyy
    If you lived on the tughill, then your expectations would be reasonable. You live in the wrong area if you expect big snow simply bc it’s cold.
  4. jayyy
    Here, fishy fishy
  5. jayyy
    On my way to black flag brewing for happy hour. Trying to drink this storm back into existence
  6. jayyy
    Anyone have the icon? I’m mobile
  7. jayyy
    Long Island FTW
  8. jayyy
    No i said see you at 6z and we are quickly running out of time No, we aren’t. Models didn’t pick up January 3rd until New Year’s Eve. Stop man.
  9. jayyy
    Stop saying its 6 days out. The storm is fully mature at 6 days. Look at 3 days out What are you talking about? The storm is 6 days out. 29th. There is a ton of evolution that takes place between the 26th and 29th. Stop talking nonsense.
  10. jayyy
    Didnt you say it was over last night?
  11. jayyy
    We were never out of it. As @MillvilleWx explained so well, most snowstorms in our area don’t get sniffed out outside 4 days. We are never out of the game until the fat lady sings. 6 days out isn’t that time.
  12. jayyy
    Much rather be missing wide right and cold / dry, than be in the bullseye 6 days out. Every, single, time.
  13. jayyy
    Wonder what models Dark Sky utilizes for their forecasts. Has 1-3 for next Saturday and 5-9 on Sunday. Ballsy
  14. jayyy
    It’s awesome that you got a nice storm last night. We hope you enjoyed it man. But you’re only proving his point by being so hyped about it. A 7” storm is a walk in the park in the upper Shenandoah valley and the fact that you are so amped up over it only proves that it is indeed a rarity for your area. The last time your area got 5+ inches was 2018, before last night. Meanwhile, Clskinsfan probably saw more snow January 2016 than you saw in the entire last decade combined…. to give you some much needed perspective. Let’s stick to talking about upcoming threats, shall we?
  15. jayyy
    “We need it to show a big storm by tomorrow or we’re in deep sh**” What? It’s almost a week away. That’s nonsense.
  16. jayyy
    It’s a more progressive pattern. Instead of large ridges out west and troughs out east, you see the boundary / northern jet push south and storms track along it underneath us, keeping us on the cold side of storms. Overrunning events pan out best in these types of patterns. It’s never fun to be south of that boundary. You tend to see the northern tier of the country cold from coast to coast, with warmer air in the south instead of seeing the west warm as the east is cold. It’s not a great pattern, but they can still pan out nicely when things line up just right.
  17. jayyy
    Ask psu what winter was better. Ask Winchester people I saw over 40” of snow last year, as did a lot of the corridor between Manchester, Thurmont, and Winchester. However, more of the forum is at climo this year than last year. Depends on who you ask, of course. We saw a much more active January this winter than last. So far, it’s been a more exciting winter than last for the area. PSU has simply been unlucky so far. I have little doubt that PSU will still see more snow than dc or Baltimore this winter and will likely surpass climo by winters end. Once February and march roll around, that’s when it’s our latitudes turn to shine.
  18. jayyy
    Cold and wet - good combo.
  19. jayyy
    We get heavy snow, Boston gets rain as the low drives through New England. Upstate NY gets rocked on the backside of a 973mb slp
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  21. jayyy
    Mmmmhmm
  22. jayyy
    Doesn’t get much better than this
  23. jayyy
    Right on queue.
  24. jayyy
    00z GFS was wide right but still wasn’t too far away from hitting us with some snow on the 30th. NYC / LI into SNE get ROCKED with 6-12 hours of very heavy snow . All I really take away from these runs this far out (198 hours) is the possibility of a gulf low making the turn up the coast and bombing out (gets to sub 980) Details, such as needing a track 150 miles further west, aren’t all that important yet. The 6z run coming up could easily show a foot for us with relatively minute changes upstairs. For me… overall trends and keeping the potential alive for seeing a gulf low bomb out somewhere along the coast is more important than exact details until we get inside 120 (D5) when models will have far more data to work with.
  25. jayyy
    My reply was for Ji. Not sure why it tagged your reply.
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