jayyy

So close. The 500mb low will close off in the coming 4-5 hours. And then all hell breaks loose from there

24.5F very heavy snow 8.75” 25mph N Tracking 4” per hour rates developing and pushing onshore in the coming hours for nearly the entire NJ coastline on over to the south shore of Long Island. Can clearly see the atmosphere being stretched along the DE and NJ coastline from the low pressure center. As temps crash into the teens, ratios may exceed 20:1 at the height

NE MD into extreme SEPA and interior NJ potentially. Let’s see how it plays out

Fantastic banding spanning from coastal DE up the NJ coastline to NYC / LI. Best part? It’s going to get a whole lot better in the next several hours. Hawking that 500mb low

Got a small cat nap in. Too good to sleep through this. 28F heavy snow 5.25” (2” in the last hour) ~ asbury park As impressive as the snow has been for the last few hours, the worst of it won’t come for another 5-7 hours, when the 500mb low closes off - all as arctic air crashes to the coastline (temps in the mid to upper teens in NEPA & NWNJ) Some signs the 500mb close off could happen sooner than expected. 5am - 10am should be absolutely bonkers.

It’s already crushing NJ. I don’t have to assume anything. I get it now. I forgot. You live in NH. You’re salty over 4-6” as the coast gets slapped. Natural feeling.

500 miles from my house? Cool. Except im in asbury park, NJ this weekend. But hey, keep talkin’. You’re in fugging New Hampshire with a WWA up

If the low truly gets down to the 960s, 18-24” isn’t out of the question between eastern LI and Boston. No storm that deep, intensifying that fast is will be flying up the coast. The 500mb low closing off and tugging the mSLP toward the coast off the jersey shoreline (shown on the NAM and Euro the past few days) is the key to their success. If that doesn’t occur and the low skirts ENE, then you’re onto something for sure. Looking at mid level instability charts, the dynamics in the NE NJ to BOS region are ripe for convective banding. All it takes is roughly 6 hours of 2-3” banding to get them to 12-18”. Seen it happen many times over the years living in the northeast in very similar setups. It all comes down to how quickly this storm travels from VA to south of LI.

It’s likely going to snow 12-18” widespread along the coast from NJ to Boston with winds up to 70mph as the low drops into the 960s south of LI. It’s not really overhyped. It’s simply not the type of storm that does well at our latitude.

There is definitely more than 2” in most areas along the Delaware coast and they aren’t even close to done. The storm isn’t really flying either. It’s center is still at the NC latitude and won’t really be hauling ass as it’s captured by the 500mb low that closes off along the coast. Will the DE coast see 18”? No. But let’s not call a bust until it’s over

Trough went negative about 2 hours earlier than expected. Low is intensifying at > 2 millibars per hour now. Might help get an extra inch or two to places east of 95

Probably my final obs for the night until my tired (and buzzed) self wakes up: Heavy snow, 29F, 3.25” 1.5-2” per hour rates currently with 3+” per hour rates possible in the coming hours. Sadly I’ll be asleep for a chunk of it - asbury park

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/SAT_US/animwv.html A) beautiful evolution b) that tilt though…

Tasty. The next several hours are going to be wild

Crazy how close the western edge gets to the bay. Hoping the 500 mb low pulls this sucker close enough to hit you with a few hours of fun overnight

The western flank of that mega band is right up against the bay. Wonder if any of those make their way into Baltimore as the low approaches

Heavy snow, 31F - Asbury park The beach cams up and down the coast from ocean city md to point pleasant are wild. Ortley Beach, 30 mins south of where I am, is getting smoked.

Man, Baltimore is going to get real close. Once the 500low closes off and pulls the coastal west a bit around OBX’s latitude, it’s hard to see Baltimore not getting some hours of solid snow. CAPE - pretty sure those higher totals may verify out your way. Radar is quite promising

Heavy snow on the immediate coast is sweet. Feeling kinda cute. Might jebwalk to the boardwalk tomorrow.

Correct.

Nope. It’s Useless at game time.

It’s going to be awfully close. Zero doubt in my mind CAPE gets the goods.

Thank you! 10-14” is my call up this way. They should have it all cleared out in time for me to drive back Sunday evening. Bust risk on both ends is quite high I reckon. NWS has a BW up for 10-18. We shall see

Snow has finally made its way over here to Asbury Park. 32 degrees, but it feels a lot colder (24F windchill)

Looking for the radar between Wilmington and charlotte NC to begin filling in as the coastal gets cranking