jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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I have little doubt that we can still go on heaters. Will it be harder than years past? Probably. Elephant in the room and all. Yes, it’s been harder to snow out on the margins the last 8 or so years, but I do think we can still see 30-40+” during a +PDO modoki winter.
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That was an incredible 2 weeks to experience up there. I was honestly spoiled rotten wrt snow when I was younger. The retrograde system was unreal. We seemingly got at least one KU each year from 96 to 2010. It was an incredible 20 year stretch for the nyc suburbs. Above average snowfall most years. Then I moved down here and we get shellacked Jan 2016. Been all downhill since then but hoping this year is the start of a snowier set of winters for us as the pac becomes less hostile.
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If you zoom in far enough you can see the lighter blue from dca’s report [emoji23]
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GFS starting up
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Can somebody with either a meteorology degree or extensive knowledge chime in with what they’re seeing? Cause the weenie cliff diving is annoying as shit lol. This is why I despise long range clown maps. People see one run showing 24” and now a 8-12 or 12-16 type event causes pandemonium
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Pouring sleet at my uncle’s in Ijamsville
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That’s how they figure out the efficacy of viagra
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Yep. To be fair, the whiplash of this hobby is real. Last week the ensembles all showed big hits, but the OPs were right in showing an advisory snowfall for many with the big snows to the south. Now it’s “the ensembles are too far east” and the OPs doing the opposite. [emoji2357]
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Hahahaha he meh’d 12+ for the entire forum. Did you actually expect we’d get 18-24”? Come on now. Keep your expectations in check and you’ll stop always being disappointed. The euro is pretty much in line with the ukie and gfs. Even king euro comes back down to earth.
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I was gonna say.. a foot or more for many around our parts and interior northeast gets destroyed. I’m certainly pleased with the snowier solution for our area, but seeing 30.7 over my parents house is a tad depressing. It is what it is though. NYC area IS supposed to crush us during niñas
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One could extrapolate that it’s likely a hit. Holding off for the weenies who pay for prettier maps to jump to conclusions though
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TUCK BABY TUCK
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One thing is for sure… temps won’t be an issue. The major question is do we get a full or partial phase
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Agreed. PSU starts it. This is his baby. Even got the date correct from weeks out
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6” being the floor at 12z certainly isn’t bad. The past couple of years we all would have literally cried for a 6” storm. Now half the forum is disappointed that every single model doesn’t show 12-24” 4.5 days out lol. Weenies be weenieing
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Odd. The Canadian and GFS essentially swapped their h5 progressions and outcomes lol. Fucking Canadians
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Not really a huge NW drift. The heavy stuff is still way south of dc. Just a drastic expansion of the heavy snow shield on the NW side of the storm and more evenly distributed.
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12z finally fully phases and bombs out. What an incredible run. Watch it show 3-6” at 0z [emoji23]
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It’ll get a clue by Monday
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Baltimore gets 2 feet. Lord
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That’s 10:1 too. It’ll be above that for many
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The difference between 17 and 20 inches from 0z to 6z 5 days out isn’t really losing anything lol
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A great run for all of us and it seems pretty realistic honestly. Obviously we may end up with less than 17” but I do think it’s most likely an nyc long island and SNE jackpot scenario. The euro progression is a classic for that area. Still, 17” is nothing to sneeze at from here to philly. Love the distribution!
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Agree. 18-22 degrees, 20+ over a huge area from Nova to NYC and cold afterward so it sticks around. Def a low end HECS
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Not for nothing… every major ensemble had this past Wednesday as a big hit for us 5+ days out and the OPs said nope. Turned out they were right.
