If the correlation is similar for precip and warmer temps, then isn’t warm and wet the likely outcome? 1047 high pressure in southern Canada and it’s raining lol. No thanks.
Euro NAM and GFS all had 2-3”, with 4+” lollipops. Just differ on exact location. Not 1-2”. I think 2-4” is a solid call for the general area with 1-2” south of dc and 3-4” closer to the MD PA border. Someone will hit 5” (prob PSU)
Pretty in line with its bias I’d say.. It also isn’t the best model on picking up banding / dynamics. Tends to paints things more uniform, which is fine. That’s why we have other models