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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. So, so cold out there. Wild to think this air mass gets bullied out but that’s what a SW tracking to our west does
  2. Euro and HRRR kuch maps with identical outputs for Baltimore. Go figure
  3. Still way out there for the HRRR but I’ll accept it
  4. Best run we’ve had from a varsity model in 48 hours and everyone’s asleep lol. Here’s to hoping the euro is correct
  5. A big ole shaft headed straight for Boston
  6. What do you make of this euro run [mention=2304]psuhoffman[/mention] Wetter / thumpier pre flip?
  7. … euro drops a foot in Baltimore city and 15 here!? Interesting!
  8. 12z Mesos tomorrow will be super interesting. Watch the RAP show 13” again
  9. Banding perhaps? but yeah, likely not the case.
  10. It’s gotta be missing some of that mid layer warmth. Or is it a big thump pre flip?
  11. Hoping the models are underplaying the cold push, but likely not
  12. Feeling pretty good about 10-12”+ in my backyard. Call me crazy but I still think the Columbia and EC area has a SHOT at a foot if the RAP is onto something with the mega thump to kick things off.
  13. HERPDYDERP looking good. Again, these are at mega range for HRDPS/RAP/HRRR etc so take with a grain of salt
  14. Just got done with work. Glad to see things primarily held from earlier
  15. It’s output makes sense given what it does over the next 24 hours out west… but boy, is it on an island… let’s see a RAP run like this tomorrow and we’ll maybe be onto something. It has a wicked front end thump
  16. Finally, a suite where all guidance made some adjustments in our direction. Especially important with this storm, as 1-2 degrees at 700 is the difference between heavy sleet and heavy snow after 12z Sunday. I’m primarily looking at Baltimore and its nearby suburbs (Catonsville Columbia etc) as I feel like this area has the widest range of outcomes available to it.
  17. Also, the GFS is wildly consistent. Expect the GEFS to be lit up (albeit way less important)
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