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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    1037 high in Canada
  2. jayyy
    It does. 96 is even better
  3. jayyy
    96
  4. jayyy
    Not sure this will get it done, but let’s see the next few frames
  5. jayyy
    Disagree..every model says no every model says no to what? A SECS? Lol. Lower your expectations. The 18z gfs dropped 4+ in your area didn’t it?
  6. jayyy
    It’s a good thing the GFS’s 10:1 snowfall map will change 20 times between now and the 14th then huh
  7. jayyy
    Far too much progressive west to east action with an active NS is definitely niña’esque
  8. jayyy
    So we have potentials on the table for the 14th and 18th. Looks like the latter will likely have a better setup in place but both bear watching. Not a terrible spot to be as far as the euro is concerned for the Valentine’s Day threat. Definitely sucks to keep having to rely on the +PNA to be just right (position and strength) and hoping for an early negative trough tilt. Those timing systems typically end up getting together too late for our latitude (a la the blizzard a few weeks ago) but hey, maybe we get lucky with one or two of these. I’d certainly take a 3-6/4-8” type event out of a pattern like this. As PSU said, we need some luck, which we haven’t had much of this winter.
  9. jayyy
    LES, inland runners, NS waves, SW parade riding the boundary… W NY seems to be the winner every damn time this winter. 84.8 is the annual average at KBUF. They’ll be at 65+ by 2/5. Bastards. Lol. All I want is one coastal hugger tucked off the coast of OCMD. SHEESH.
  10. jayyy
    Looks like the Gfs, Canadian, euro, icon and most other models are pushing the Sunday - Monday threat to the south for now. Out to sea in SEVA / NC. Not great but models also appear to be clueless as to what’s going on in the upper levels. The changes at h5 run to run are pretty drastic, which means we’ll likely see 50 different solutions between now and 00z Saturday. Wouldn’t necessarily get too invested in this one, but it’s worth keep an eye on incase we’re looking better by 0z tomorrow night or Friday. Certainly not going to lose any sleep tracking this one.
  11. jayyy
    It does. However, moving from central Maryland to northern Maryland only does so much when big snowstorms keep occurring 200+ miles in any given direction all season lol. Last year? Your move would have been fruitful. Perhaps the start to this season is our karma for getting 40-50” last year while the metros barely hit double digits. Got very lucky last winter up this way. It’s only early February though, and the time is quickly approaching for a) deeper storms with a likelihood for more coastal huggers b) marginal events with more traditional fall line setups. We’ll catch up, and quickly. Keep the faith! Have a feeling our luck will improve drastically over the coming 6-8 weeks
  12. jayyy
    Yep, a dual high in Virginia and southern New England won’t cut it lol
  13. jayyy
    .3 of ice and 8” of snow? Oh hell yes. Too bad it’ll change 37 times over the next 150 hours lol
  14. jayyy
    I can’t even ask how much for short pump
  15. jayyy
    The middle Atlantic Rule of NAM: 1) if the nam shows a shit solution, it’s likely correct 2) if the nam shows a good solution, it’s incorrect
  16. jayyy
    Now that I think of it, the two storms that worked out well this year IMBY (not including the blizzard I chased like a goddamn psychopath) I didn’t really check the models or forums beforehand. I had zero clue it was going to snow before the 1/3 storm until the watch was hoisted. Perhaps that’s the move to make
  17. jayyy
    Girl, same.
  18. jayyy
    I’d take that 3” total in a New York minute
  19. jayyy
    Nice little mini Boston jack for good measure
  20. jayyy
    And tomorrow it’ll have 3 snowstorms between now and hr 384 and you’ll jump for joy
  21. jayyy
    9” in Dallas lol. Bruh
  22. jayyy
    I didn’t know Florida Alabama Louisiana and Georgia Seceded again
  23. jayyy
    My snow weenie friends who live in Perrysburg OH are losing their minds at this run lol
  24. jayyy
    Banking on the UKMET to lead the way… what could go wrong
  25. jayyy
    Interesting setup. Let’s hope that boundary lands south of us and we see some waves ride along it
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