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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. It’s really picked up in the past few minutes here in Union bridge. Radar looks great honestly.
  2. So far, as far as where the jet is setting up and precip is blossoming, yesterdays bullish NAM run looks pretty spot on so far
  3. Changeover was awfully quick once that heavier band got overhead. Dusting already commencing
  4. Can already kinda tell where the two best areas of precip will be. One qpf jack along the metro corridor and another near the blue ridge. Looks like Berkeley springs up to Everett are getting in some goods right now
  5. Eastern HOCO to Baltimore to Hartford sweet spot showing up on a few different models.
  6. Man, I’d take the 4-5-6” some of these models are printing IMBY in a heartbeat, but I’ll be more than happy with 2 or 3 verifying
  7. Yessir! Temps finally making progress in Carroll county. 46.5/30 here
  8. Super zoomed out but 2-4” for many. MOCO HOCO to BAL 4+, 4-6” back near Staunton again
  9. Latest HRDPS is a nice event for the metro corridor and central md
  10. What do you think your app uses to determine hour by hour temp, precip, etc?
  11. HoCo / MoCo may be well positioned. Far enough south for enhancement from the jet, far enough away from 95 for temps. Models are all over the place with this setup
  12. Seeing as I’m 18 degrees above freezing, I’ll take my chances
  13. The temp drop is serious. My buddies up in Ohio said it was mid 50s yesterday and hasn’t gotten above 24 all day today. Dews are already pretty low down this way. Temps should drop like a rock. Hope the NAM scores a coup here!
  14. Expecting about 2” up here with some help from elevation and colder temps. Same for PSUland mappyland and clskinsland. I’m sure local 3+“ reports will pop up, but I like a general 2” for our general tier. Someone is going to see a very localized QPF max, as has been the trend all season (as Bob chill referred to above) Models have struggled to pin down that area all season long, but they appear to be honing in on the general area between CHO and Staunton this go around. We won’t know until game time. The biggest question mark for me is the immediate metros (UHI areas) How do temps fare? Do they see heavy enough returns to overcome some of the temp issues that come with a marginal setup where precip and cold are in a foot race? Biggest upside and downside potential exists in this area IMO, especially DC.
  15. I’ll recommend making a thread for every threat going forward #GoodJuJu
  16. Damn you gfs. Felt pretty good about a little 2” event up here til that turd just popped out. Nice event south of dc though. (Mazel tov to those who live down there, but you know how it is)
  17. LOL! What? No way. It snows into late February and March up here. April snow isn’t impossible either. Some of our biggest snows have come late season as wavelengths shorten. Regardless, it seems like we may be tracking 1-3” area wide. Not snow tv
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