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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. We’re talking March in the mid Atlantic folks… we’re not going to see weeks of cold and snow. We can (unfortunately) toss the dream of the epic longwave pattern we thought would bring 2 weeks of sustained winter from late feb into early march. But not at all is lost. If we’re going to hit, it’s likely going to be a super amped wave with good timing / track. Rain to 6” of snow that quickly melts? Certainly possible, even for the lowlands. I honestly don’t mind march. You know… wavelengths and such. March is typically the northern tiers time for a paste bomb.
  2. The trend of the season… BETTER / WETTER as we get closer.
  3. Wait this storm is legit happening? Haven’t been paying much attention at all. Just got back into town last night. Let’s goooo
  4. Looks like about 2-3” at home per spotter reports 10” OTG here in NY. Great storm up this way. Saw a few reports of over a foot east of here
  5. The mid Atlantic (Maryland / DC area in particular) is seeing their third storm of the year trend in their direction inside of 24 hours. Insane.
  6. Models are struggling inside 12 hours with the storm on our doorstep and people are losing their minds over individual long range runs 1-2+ weeks out? Gimme a break.
  7. While using 10:1 maps is ridiculous given the thermal profile leading in, we discounted the RAP HRRR in January too…. And we saw how that turned out. They sniffed out the southern trend then too. I definitely see this being more of a northern tier special, but I wouldn’t count out HoCo and MoCo entirely. Definitely possible there’s some 2-3” amounts in those areas away from 95 If only it were 4-5 degrees colder going in… we’d be talking 6+ for many
  8. 5” in Baltimore? Okaaay. Central MD about to reel another one in sub 24 hours?
  9. This has nyc area special written all over it. I’ll be at my parents until Wednesday. 12” looking very likely Rooting for us back home though!
  10. The two storms in January moved in our direction within 48-72 hours. Pretty drastic changes too. For storm 2 most models showed 1-2” for many of us inside 36 hours and then we saw a last minute jack up to 6-7” in some areas in central MD inside 18 hours. Not out of the realm of possibility this ends up being a few inches if things continue to tick in our direction and we get a bit lucky. Why the hell not? Let’s keep the good luck rolling.
  11. #Phillyspecial Winter 23-24, the year of the south trend
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