jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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80/20 snow in Ellicott City near turf valley. Gotta think it’ll change over in Columbia shortly when precip intensifies a tad
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All snow in Union Bridge and Emmittsburg. Confirmed by my son & neighbor. Bring on the fatties
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Thanks man. Took a bit less than 4 hrs with no one on the road. Pretty smooth ride with lots of scooby snacks to get me through [emoji23] Looks like precip won’t begin up here until late afternoon. 740 ft elevation half a mile east of mount hope. WSW up for 6-12” Seeing some snow falling on my cam back home in union bridge. Assume some sleet is mixed in there too based on other’s observations. WSW up for 2-4” of snow / sleet + some ice .
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Finally made it to folks house in Middletown NY. Now I get some much needed sleep. Good luck today everyone! May the force be with you. .
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Curious to see how they initialize temps versus reality .
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Officially below freezing. Forecasted low of 20 tonight. Gimme 3-4” of thumpy paste and I’ll be happy at this point.
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They don’t like constant switching between optimism and doom or talks of the back edge approaching 5 states away .
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May head up to my parents house tonight in the Hudson valley depending on how things look tonight. They have a warning up for 6-10”, should remain all snow. Have off work until Tuesday, so perhaps I’ll head up to “visit my folks”. Haven’t decided quite yet.
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Yep. The gulf is awfully close though? Which is warm. Moistures being fed into the system from there.
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Gotta love seeing central Arkansas fend off the rain / snow line @ 1 pm [emoji1787] Like come onnn .
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Definitely some surprise snows happening to our SW. Forecasts for mix / rain actually ended up being a few inches of snow in Arkansas and surrounding areas. Perhaps a sign of things to come? Perhaps not. This one’s going to be very interesting to track in real time. Next 12-18 hours should be pretty telling. Hoping for a solid 3-5 hour window of thumpage. Pretty decent gulf interaction occurring down south right now. Pretty safe to say this storm will have a respectable amount of moisture to work with. .
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Sitting at 34.5 - forecasted high of 38 .
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It’d be even sweeter if most of that qpf that falls along I-95 as the gfs depicts falls when temps are still cold enough for frozen. Sucks not having everyone in on the fun for this one. .
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At 12z we see models converge on the coastal amping earlier! *Putting some good juju out into the universe* .
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Right down the street from my son at Mt. Saint Mary’s! Great spot to eat. .
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Down to a chilly 26.5 degrees this evening. Wind out of the NNW 7mph, dew 17, humidity 67% Watch up for 5” or more of snow/sleet Let’s reel this mamajama in .
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Gahh I’m at work, I can’t check! .
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Curious what the 18z 3k NAM has to say. Pretty much solely focused on thermals at this point. A nudge in the colder direction would be nice to see.
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Same. Quite close to the Frederick county border. Still think my area can manage a solid 3-5” out of this if we’re just a tad cooler than progged come game time. .
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Being off by 100 miles and a few degrees 2+ weeks out is models being astonishingly accurate.
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Congrats NYC suburbs and SNE
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Pretty interesting to see all of the snowfall accumulation changes from run to run. Track remains mostly the same as Clskins alluded to, but the thermals are all over the place. We may really need to wait until Friday night to know what’s going on, once the airmass / high is actually in place and models aren’t just predicting what it’ll be like.
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Imagine after all of this tracking and boom / bust concern it ends up being an areawide 2-5” storm for many [emoji1787] what’s kuchera have to say? 10:1 is generous.
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Pics or it didn’t happen .
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18z and especially 00z gets the NAM within 48 hours, where it’s at least (somewhat?) useful. Then again, it’s being retired and hasn’t been updated in a while, so who knows. Hoping it scores a coup being a meso vs globals. Certainly have nothing to lose at this point. .
