jayyy

Band rotation into the W MA / E NY area continues. 19.5” OTG. Probably another 3-4 and this sucker will be over. Helluva storm to watch unfold.

19.5” in Pittsfield area. Wonderful storm to witness .

It varies greatly in that area. My friends in Schenectady only got 8” while some other areas easily saw over a foot. Shadow effect is real up there. Elevated Places SW of Albany and east of Albany tends to cause sinking air in the valley .

17” in Pittsfield proper per local reports. Wild storm .

Too early for me to get too invested in the details. Zero shot I’m tracking relatively minute changes at h5 4X a day over the next 200 hours. The threat is there… as PSU said, the peak of the pattern meets the end of snow climo. Details won’t get ironed out this far out and the difference between 6z’s depiction and last nights miss is noise at this range. All we need to know is the threat is there for now. If it’s still there sub 150 hours, let’s track the fuck out of it.

Incredible storm so far. 9.7” in 6 hours according to the local gauge. Closing in on a foot of snow. An impressive 18” or so inches likely to fall. Places just east of here in the elevations of the green mountains will surpass 30”. Already 2 feet OTG in places near Hampshire county

9” in Pittsfield MA Another 8-9” is looking likely Great storm so far

6z GFS for 3/22. DC to NYC gets crushed.

Gooood lord. SWS up for 2”+ per hour rates through 10 AM. The wall of heavy snow spanning from MA into the Hudson valley and up through Lake George NY is impressive to say the least. https://wnyt.com/cdphp-first-warning-cam-pittsfield/ Here’s a link to the live cam located at the holiday inn nearby! Eyeballing 9” OTG. Local reports seem in line.

Unreal snow the past 2 hours 6” OTG and SN++ at 32F

Conditions are deteriorating rapidly as I type this out. Very impressive banding rotating off the Atlantic. Been getting about 1” per hour rates since the flip to snow occurred. Closer to 2”/hr rates now falling. 33F with SN++ just shy of 5” OTG Going to get some shut eye for a few hours, can barely keep my eyes open.

33F heavy snow Pittsfield 12-20” looking like a lock up here

Makes sense given the setup honestly. Boston down to the cape is probably going to see mostly rain. Easterly flow versus NW. Boston could see 1-2” as the Worcester Hills see 2 feet. An insane gradient will setup in east central mass. This storms evolution is not good for eastern areas.

It’s all fantasy in the year 2023. Just ask the nyc metro

33F heavy snow - that escalated quickly

I’d certainly take the gamble on a coastal bomb. Slightly offshore track and someone ends up getting clobbered with some snow too. .

Settled on hoteling it up at the Best Western in Pittsfield (KPSF) for this one. Rockland County ended up being too far south. No way I was storm chasing to end up with a sloppy mix. Here’s to hoping this storm doesn’t bust up here too. 35 and rain. Changeover slated for 1 AM.

Damn it GFS. No coastal huggers at range. We want suppression.

I’ll take a suppressed SS storm all day at this range. Last thing we want to see is a flush hit at this range. Ask tomorrows storm. [emoji23]

Yep. The Albany area and places E had a watch for 1-2 feet. Since lowered to 8-16”. Poconos 12-18 lowered to 6-12, and even that may be too high. Central Mass is now 6-12. Still a nice storm but a far cry from the storm folks expected. Most models this morning say even those totals are too high. Rough. GFS still says game on for the Albany area into Mass with a major snowstorm but others say not so fast. HRRR barely gets anyone to double digits.

P20 and we call it a winter

Very highly unlikely, however I remember a storm where it snowed in NYC and rained in Boston, as well as one where it snowed in DC and rained in NYC. Rare, but it can happen. That being said, this isn’t the setup for such a thing like nyc raining and AC snowing to occur. That’s an extreme rarity.

I lived in the lower Hudson valley for 25 years, as well as the DC suburbs and the elevations of northern MD. I’d take NY climo any day of the week if we’re talking about the average winter versus DC. It’s just easier to snow up that way. NYC sometimes deals with more maritime issues being directly on the Atlantic, but generally speaking, it’s much better than DC. Maryland is weird though, cause I’d take my climo in northern MD over NYC. I saw over 50” a few years ago while DC didn’t hit double digits. 30-40 miles makes all of the difference down there. The one thing I will say is… the biggies that do work out for the mid Atlantic typically jackpot down there (January 2016 or snowmaggedon in 2010 for example)

4 times in 70 years is rare my dude.

True. Except they failed for nearly the same exact reasons this year. Can include Philly and Baltimore in that same bucket. Lack of cold air, blocking, no western ridge, a constantly flexing SER, etc.