jayyy

Called that HoCo jackpot. Happy for my former county-mates!

Wouldn’t be historic if we had them every year or even every two years. MECS / SECS are way more common than HECS+. There’s a reason it’s considered historic. Also, a week to reload the pattern / cold doesn’t have any impact on whether or not we see a HECS between early feb - march. I get being jaded from the past few years but man, you really do always look for the negatives. No model, especially a long range ensemble or the weeklies, is going to be able to tell you whether or not we see a HECS by winters end. The same exact models could show a HECS potential tomorrow. Wouldn’t worry so much about things that are several weeks out.

#moister .

First time in god knows how long that I got more snow than my parents did from a storm that impacted both of our areas. (Union bridge MD vs. Middletown NY)

BOOM SHAKALAKA

This includes 7pm last night and onward. So.. 2-3” in some spots were from last nights system? Or am I mathing incorrectly. Apologies I just woke up.

Nothing wrong with 10:1 for that storm. Bob said it above and I agree, 10:1 is certainly attainable. Setup is there.

The good news is that models often trend diggier / more amped / closer to the coast and not the other way around. It’s when we need things to trend colder / further SE / more progressive that we tend to get bucked

NWS going with snow likely - 70% chance for Friday

Unreal. Another 1-3 feet expected in and around buffalo. Nothing like getting 6 feet of snow in 5 days.

Fantastic to see everyone cash in! Pretty uniform totals across the board as well. Welp, we bought ourselves about 3 hours of Ji not being miserable. Enjoy folks! [emoji38]

4.75” final total. The banding from 7-11pm was the money maker up this way.

The bands blossoming NW of DC have moved in my direction all evening. Way better than I expected so far. Big ole flakes falling

A bunch of districts have already. .

Northern tier will be delayed but not denied. Better lift overnight and then some throwback from the coastal to prolong the event. 5-8” for my area over to PSU over to you per LWX

Getting crushed right now.

NAO trending toward positive doesn’t mean we’ll have mixing issues. Maybe it happens, but it’s not the direct reason. We actually tend to do well at the tail end of a strong block when it begins to decay

Anyone have a zoomed in version of the RAP and RGEM? Hard to tell what those totals are. Looks like an additional 4-6 for central md and points NE. We take all day. Some Coastal love?

[mention=1082]ravensrule[/mention] .. ehem

Likely because the latest NAM tucks the SLP in against the coast. Doubt many of us go to sleet besides CAPEville

Snow accumulating nicely in the EC / Columbia - Hanover corridor surrounding highway 100. Helluva drive I just had to make for work purposes. Great storm so far

Viewers not tuning in to his bullshit forecasts for starters. .

Yup. Grew up near the Catskills. I used to drive around in 6+” storms regularly. As well as in my college days in buffalo. They know how to treat roads up there. Roads will be wet pavement with 7-8” OTG and snow falling. Here? If there’s 1-2” OTG and falling snow it can still be quite dangerous. Huge difference.

Another 2-4” after 7PM? Yes please