jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Yikes.
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Richmond gets deez nuts. Nothing more.
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To be fair, 12 hours ago was also 4 days lead time and the euro icon and gfs all showed a foot plus. But yeah, if this thing hasn’t improved come 00z runs tomorrow night, we’re likely headed for another advisory to low end warning event. Unless the cmc is right… cause then we’d be left with nothing but our weenies in our hand.
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Extrapolate, you will. Heavy snow, we receive.
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The euro really was better at 18z wrt the ULL being more amped and it looked slightly better out west. Hope to see that trend continue tonight so we can get back to our regularly scheduled MECS programming
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Good thing this is the mid Atlantic forum then. Ya know, south of the Mason Dixon
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When do we get into extrapolate the NAM territory (kidding, kinda)
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Not really. Majority of folks got 0 accumulation
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Agreed. Unfortunately, people saw 24” clown maps and anything less than that is a fail now. Verbatim the blend is a warning event for 95% of us
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Doesn’t come off hostile at all. I’m trying to learn, so I appreciate your insight
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Is that a kicker system in the Rockies as our storm moves east? The trough moving through out there. Maybe that’s what’s getting in the way of a full blow up? admittedly not great at deciphering 500mb maps
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I have little doubt that we can still go on heaters. Will it be harder than years past? Probably. Elephant in the room and all. Yes, it’s been harder to snow out on the margins the last 8 or so years, but I do think we can still see 30-40+” during a +PDO modoki winter.
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That was an incredible 2 weeks to experience up there. I was honestly spoiled rotten wrt snow when I was younger. The retrograde system was unreal. We seemingly got at least one KU each year from 96 to 2010. It was an incredible 20 year stretch for the nyc suburbs. Above average snowfall most years. Then I moved down here and we get shellacked Jan 2016. Been all downhill since then but hoping this year is the start of a snowier set of winters for us as the pac becomes less hostile.
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If you zoom in far enough you can see the lighter blue from dca’s report [emoji23]
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GFS starting up
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Can somebody with either a meteorology degree or extensive knowledge chime in with what they’re seeing? Cause the weenie cliff diving is annoying as shit lol. This is why I despise long range clown maps. People see one run showing 24” and now a 8-12 or 12-16 type event causes pandemonium
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Pouring sleet at my uncle’s in Ijamsville
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That’s how they figure out the efficacy of viagra
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Yep. To be fair, the whiplash of this hobby is real. Last week the ensembles all showed big hits, but the OPs were right in showing an advisory snowfall for many with the big snows to the south. Now it’s “the ensembles are too far east” and the OPs doing the opposite. [emoji2357]
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Hahahaha he meh’d 12+ for the entire forum. Did you actually expect we’d get 18-24”? Come on now. Keep your expectations in check and you’ll stop always being disappointed. The euro is pretty much in line with the ukie and gfs. Even king euro comes back down to earth.
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I was gonna say.. a foot or more for many around our parts and interior northeast gets destroyed. I’m certainly pleased with the snowier solution for our area, but seeing 30.7 over my parents house is a tad depressing. It is what it is though. NYC area IS supposed to crush us during niñas
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One could extrapolate that it’s likely a hit. Holding off for the weenies who pay for prettier maps to jump to conclusions though
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TUCK BABY TUCK
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One thing is for sure… temps won’t be an issue. The major question is do we get a full or partial phase
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Agreed. PSU starts it. This is his baby. Even got the date correct from weeks out
