Jump to content

jayyy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,065

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by jayyy

  1. jayyy
    And switching to non avatar snow depth maps from 1985
  2. jayyy
    Looks like about 2-3” at home per spotter reports 10” OTG here in NY. Great storm up this way. Saw a few reports of over a foot east of here
  3. jayyy
    The only favorable shifts we’re seeing this year are inside 24-36 hours.
  4. jayyy
    The mid Atlantic (Maryland / DC area in particular) is seeing their third storm of the year trend in their direction inside of 24 hours. Insane.
  5. jayyy
    Models are struggling inside 12 hours with the storm on our doorstep and people are losing their minds over individual long range runs 1-2+ weeks out? Gimme a break.
  6. jayyy
    While using 10:1 maps is ridiculous given the thermal profile leading in, we discounted the RAP HRRR in January too…. And we saw how that turned out. They sniffed out the southern trend then too. I definitely see this being more of a northern tier special, but I wouldn’t count out HoCo and MoCo entirely. Definitely possible there’s some 2-3” amounts in those areas away from 95 If only it were 4-5 degrees colder going in… we’d be talking 6+ for many
  7. jayyy
    Yup
  8. jayyy
    DUMP IT
  9. jayyy
    REEL IT IN WINTERWX / Ravensrule
  10. jayyy
    His area is about to get 10-15” tomorrow. He’s probably focusing on that in his area.
  11. jayyy
    5” in Baltimore? Okaaay. Central MD about to reel another one in sub 24 hours?
  12. jayyy
    Sit down grumpy
  13. jayyy
    I’ve been on vacation man!
  14. jayyy
    Watch up in the northern tier
  15. jayyy
    This has nyc area special written all over it. I’ll be at my parents until Wednesday. 12” looking very likely Rooting for us back home though!
  16. jayyy
    The two storms in January moved in our direction within 48-72 hours. Pretty drastic changes too. For storm 2 most models showed 1-2” for many of us inside 36 hours and then we saw a last minute jack up to 6-7” in some areas in central MD inside 18 hours. Not out of the realm of possibility this ends up being a few inches if things continue to tick in our direction and we get a bit lucky. Why the hell not? Let’s keep the good luck rolling.
  17. jayyy
    #Phillyspecial Winter 23-24, the year of the south trend
  18. jayyy
    Do tell
  19. jayyy
    17” at my parents house in NY? I believe it.
  20. jayyy
    lol far too much weenie nonsense going on right now over A SINGLE 200+ hour OP run. Calm the fuck down y’all. Did we expect the GFS to hold a massive snowstorm for 200+ hours? Ensembles, ensembles, ensembles at this range. It’ll be back and gone again by tomorrow.
  21. jayyy
    Same way the blend looked 2 days before MoCo and HoCo saw 6” with that second wave in January
  22. jayyy
    It’s the year of the last minute southern trend. All we need to do is create 3 threads before the storm
  23. jayyy
    Plenty of time for it to tick on north
  24. jayyy
    Not happening since 15-16 is kind of irrelevant as it pertains to whether or not we can sustain a pattern in 2024. You poopoo’d on both of last weeks potentials too and cited all sorts of correlations and +dms, only for it to snow 10+” over a 4 day span in many places. These statistics and correlations only tell us so much. Sometimes those correlations mean something, other times they are mere coincidence. Obviously we take this one week at a time, but I highly doubt we’re incapable of sustaining a pattern anymore.
  25. jayyy
    Could be because the amount of snow he gets isn’t the only determining factor in his life decisions. Just a hunch lol
×
×
  • Create New...