jayyy

Get ready for that deform band later on man. Looks like central md over to i - 95 corridor around Baltimore and the eastern shore get rocked this afternoon by a deform from the coastal. LWX finally picking up what models have been hinting at for 18 hours or so

When you have over 4” and you realize the storm has barely even begun Look at Those bands heading into VA! Going to be sleet / IR for some down there. It’ should be SN++ For dc and points north when it arrives. LWX update is spot on... people should be looking for sleet freezing rain snow mix in parts of Virginia, south of 66. Whomever remains all snow, just north of that boundary, will jackpot. They also mention the deform band the HRRR RAPP and NAM have been pointing to. This band is progged to hit the 95 corridor if it comes to fruition Going to be a very interesting next couple of hours as far as how everything sets up. Anxious to see where the coastal gets going. Precip is plentiful and temps are holding steady here in central md

Not even jealous of whoever is in that yellow blob. Enjoy that sleet dump.

Lmao another .5-.75 up to Baltimore - ratios are approx 13:1 up here based on accumulated precip and measured snowfall so far. That’s another 6-10”

BWI should be above 3” right now. Reports of 4+ in Montgomery and Howard counties and 3” in north Baltimore city and AA county. BWI falls in there for sure.

So much for a lull...

Ratios are helping central md no doubt. Seeing reports in MD higher than NoVA. 4.25” and moderate snow here in western EC

DC is about to get pummeled

Wunderground NEXRAD radar typically

We absolutely had some excellent analysis the past few days led by @Bob ChiII @MillvilleWx @Beachinand others. Glad we didn’t collectively throw in the towel per usual. I knew we had a decent shot when models had the jackpot in VA about 3.5 days out... best place to be in this setup a few days out is North of the progged bullseye. Planned out just fine! Anyway... should be closing in on 4 in the next little while per the deck ruler. Snow is piling up under this band

band forming over @Bob Chill and points NE into Howard. It’s puuuurrrdy out there no doubt. Moderate, borderline heavy snow. 27.5/25

Yellows and dark greens from NOVA heading straight toward Baltimore city

You ready for the death band? Cause I sure as heck am.

There’s already reports of 2-3” all over central Maryland as well. Like I suspected, Montgomery county to Howard county would benefit from a solid location (south enough for QPF- North enough for great snow crystal growth) The heavy stuff is knocking on our doorstep again! If NAM is to be believed, we are in for another 5-8” or so

HRRR and NAM have been hinting at a CCB deformation band forming over Baltimore metro northern md And southern PA for a few consecutive runs now. NAM has done well so far. This too could happen with proper coastal influence.

You’ll be alright in Bowie, sir. Dc proper and southern MD should be okay. South of 66 could run into problem if this storm truly has trended 25+ miles north. Models showed the potential of a warm layer intrusion in the SE quadrant of the storm for days. Think many assumed it would be all snow but more coastal development can easily rush warm air on the SE flank as cold air wraps around the NW.

Damn right.

#deckpic

Just about 3” and counting. Probably a good thing that LWX raised that 3-5” advisory they had up 24 hours ago LOL Radar is reloading! Should be a really fun next 8-10 hours

NAM seems to have the best handle so far. Intrigued to see what this coastal does. It’s been hinting at a ton of interaction and deform band for 3 straight runs

Wouldn’t discount the SREF entirely. It sucks ass... until a storm has arrived. That’s what it’s meant for. Only decent a few hours out, otherwise I wouldn’t go near it. HRRR/RAPP is the best combo If you insist on looking at the models instead of the radar and current OBS haha

Lmao.. piling up and the heavy stuff hasn’t even come up to HoCo yet. Ratios and dendrite are solid.

Column is great. Ratios for central md And points north will exceed 12:1 in my view. Of course better as you climb north in latitude. Ratios up by PSU Hoffman will be insane which is why he’ll still likely easily get 6+

These flakes are wonderful. Steady light to mod snow is accumulating quite rapidly. Flakes are enormous. Snow growth upstairs is looking quite nice up here in central MD. Still think the area between Bob Chill in Rockville and BWI / Howard / AA county does superb between being far enough south for QPF and far enough north for much better snow growth than dc and points south.

Stop trolling man. It’s a storm thread, and you’re not even close to being correct. Just stop.