jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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That’s what I’m saying man. I’m over here in Union bridge worrying about the column big time. We may not be at a high enough latitude to avoid the impending sleet bomb
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Big step back for my parts. God I hope models are a) overplaying the warm nose and b) underestimating the cold
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Used to live by benson branch park, right off Triadelphia road. About 10 mins from turf valley dont hold me to it, but I think you’ll do better than 2-4”
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Agreed. Only thing i’d MAYBE change is the pocket near HoCo up to North Baltimore county... they could see more than 2-4 on the WAA thump alone
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24 crisp degrees out there. Woof
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This will be my first winter up here in Union bridge with legitimate snowfall to track. The past year and a half has been brutal for all. Come to think of it, this my first big potential snowfall since moving here. Cheers my friend. Hope you make out well! Have a feeling this will surprise.
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That’s wonderful news. What parts? Used to be my stomping grounds for a few years.
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Fully expecting a sleet bomb here in central carroll county before the storm makes its move NE. Some of our best storms have had sleet however.
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My nakey eye ball agrees
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Peep HoCo. Just as I alluded to earlier. Models keep showing this secondary jackpot JUST west of the rain/snow line where QPF jacks in that crazy meso band. Not sure this has any chance to pan out, but it intrigues me that hi res (hrrr 12k nam) keep showing this.
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Come on MESOs...
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Late to the party. Just got off work. Euro is out to lunch, IMO. How does it keep moving the low farther and farther west while barely changing snowfall totals? Something seems wrong.
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It’s a good thing nobody’s making life decisions based off this map. Good grief. I’d give me left big toe to see 16” verify for you folks down in Baltimore ...Unless it’s onto something.
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Agreed. Just saw that too. Womp.
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My brother says he’s down to 34 in Columbia. It is definitely chilly out there.
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Is it me, or is that track a lot better than 99.9% of models are depicting? A track like that would be conducive to much more than advisory snowfall for HoCo and that area just west of 95
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Models can absolutely all bust. Especially when we’re talking 50 miles either way. One slight miscalculation and the entire run can be toast with a thread the needle situation like this one. Let’s just hope it busts east, not west.
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If the low takes that track along the white line, there will be a ton of surprised people come Wednesday PM.
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Right?? Where are the clown maps to give folks false hope 24 hours before the storm? Sheesh! Haha. All kidding aside... this storm has been the epitome of 2020 to track.
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35/22 - Union bridge Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but looks like the RGEM brings in WAA snows earlier.
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It would definitely be something if NWS lowered amounts, just to see things shift SE again 18z/0z tonight. #ReverseTheCurse
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Definitely a trend SE on the NAM - SLP is a bit ESE and as PSUhoffman has been saying, there appears to be some closed circulation being hinted here. Let’s see if other models see this at all
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One take away from 12z & 18z... models are still pretty clueless on a) strength and track of the primary SLP in OV b) positioning of the high and timing of its retreat c) a and b result in 50-60-70 mile differences in track on various models. Which clearly makes or breaks the storm for coasties Not the worst thing position in the world to be in with a legit airmass in place, but we definitely need to see more support than the 12z NAM before we can get remotely excited
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Holy crap this is going to be real close for HoCo MoCo. Taking a looking at the upper levels, whoever stays mostly snow just west of the rain/snow line is going to be a secondary (albeit lower) jackpot of sorts. A few models point to pretty intense lift just west of the fall line. 12k NAM starting off 18z right with a slower progression and slightly deeper dig... let’s keep it going
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All good. Had me excited for a moment
