jayyy
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Everything posted by jayyy
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Gimme all the cold air and snowflakes!!
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I’d call it a steady light snow out there. Temp has dropped a degree to 29. It’s looking like the good stuff will commence at noon in these parts
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Imagine we had some semblance of blocking in place to keep that high anchored in
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He’s north of 70. He’ll make up for some of the damage with that band later on Hi res NAM has handled none of this correctly so far
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My sons up at school - lives off campus in Thurmont near Mt St Mary’s. Man. I wish I didn’t have to work - would have spent the day there for SURE
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Wouldn’t it be something if models all got the 850 placement wrong?
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Everything’s caving. Beautiful out there. here’s to hoping things pans out for you folks in the metros and immediate suburbs! Still think there is quite a large boom chance from W HoCo into N MoCo with that death band
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We need to just avoid that damn NW movement models depict. For the love of god, send that low off OBX and head due NE
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Light snow 30 degrees
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This gradient being shown on maps is insane. 12”+ with less than 3” 20-30 miles away in some cases.... either some folks expecting 12” are gonna be super disappointed, or the I-95 corridor is in for a little treat. so far: HP is a bit stronger / south of progged. Not sure if that means anything but there’s a decent CAD signature down into VA
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28 degrees - let’s GO! it’s gonna rake out there today. Precipitation moving in ahead of schedule. Me likey
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Must... sleep.... Inner thoughts:::: “but 6z is so soon....” I hope the next HRRR run is sexy
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That’s what I’m saying! Wouldn’t be the first or last time a model got a track wrong by 30-50 miles
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Wonder how that affects warming in the upper level on the model. That track NW has to be cranking 850s up the bay. If it took a steady NE track, I wonder if that would translate any differently
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Thing literally takes a 90 degree turn as soon as it hits the Atlantic off the Carolina coastline. What gives
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Looking like marquis brown’s routes against the bills
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Also very curious if anybody can give some insight. Not saying it “cant” happen, per say, but I am very curious from a meteorological standpoint what would cause a fairly quick moving storm, in a progressive pattern, to take that sharp NW turn just to take another sharp turn NE. Wild.
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@psuhoffman - any shot the euro has that wrong and it doesn’t make the NW turn into the bay?
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Right? If that low tracked from NC due NE to its depicted location, we’d all be seeing 12+
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Solid call. 22/20 here as well. Dews up 2 degrees. Meep. Sleep well sir, tomorrow comes the mauling
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Slight, no doubt. However...a track on the Other side of the mouth of bay can make a decent difference for C MD and NoVa the low is both weaker and further east. Both positives for that area
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How are you doing on temps right now? It’s a pre-mauling 22 out there over here
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Woooof.
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I’m salivating at that run here in west Carroll county
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Euro has done this two runs in a row. It doesn’t make sense to me, at all. The pattern is fairly progressive, a ridge is pumping to the south... all conducive of a NE track, not NW. I must be missing something... HRRR track would be swell for most
