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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. Warning snows for south-central MD, DC, on south to NVA on this run. NEVA into coastal MD gets pummeled. PSU ain’t gonna be happy with this one.
  2. It can be 20-25 degrees and be pouring sleet. Trust me. As somebody who grew up in the mix zone NW of NYC, it happens enough. Saw a nasty sleet storm up there in the early 2000s and it never got above 30
  3. The big dog isn’t coming until the blocking eases. I agree. Let’s get a few 3-6” events before the biggie in mid February
  4. Yet pretty much the only model with any credibility 120+ out.
  5. Still think a small 1-4” type event is on the table late sun into Mon morning as the proverbial appetizer for next weeks mid week threat. Would be sweet to have some snow cover to help out heading into the larger threat if it ends up being a marginal event
  6. I was joking earlier, but the fact that we’re talking next Wednesday now and not Monday just confirms the insanity that is the 20-21 winter. One thing is for sure... we’re going to get smacked when this blocking pattern finally relaxes. A lot of our biggies have come on the tail ends of patterns like this. That being said, it’d be nice to squeeze a few 3+“ events out of this pattern before that happens
  7. Temps dropped about 4-5 degrees once the heavy stuff came through.
  8. Dark sky has a lull and then another batch of snow from 1-4 am
  9. My brother says it’s a wonderland out in the ellicott city / Columbia area
  10. Heaviest precipitation is sliding due East south of us in VA. Lmao. Gotta love it. Is it Sunday yet
  11. This winter is like an endless bio pic about Jennifer Anniston and Brad Pitt’s love life. Endless delays to inevitable heartbreak. Unreal how many big threats have fallen apart this winter so far. Sunday’s setup is much nicer than Thursday’s - until Thursday comes and we’ll be talking about Sunday’s threat slowly disappearing and a threat for next Wednesday emerging - LOL. IM TIRED OF TRACKING YALL.
  12. The ole IMBY approach. Works every time 15z RAP OR BUST
  13. Feeling like we’re actually decently positioned to get 1-2” area wide with 3” lollies with this storm. Thinking roughly 2” for my area
  14. Lol giving up on a storm 4 days out when it’s progged to our south? No way.
  15. 9” of snow in central Texas. Snowing heavily in Mississippi. 20 and nada here. Gotta love the mid Atlantic.
  16. Classic. Lift to the NW and SE is so strong, air is sinking over central MA. That band in NW MA into NH produced 5” per hour snowfall outside Albany.
  17. Sure. New Hampshire. Wherever your 180+“ falls. How’d it do?
  18. I agree. It APPEARS that storms want to keep taking a great path off the Carolina / VA coast to our SE. The pattern moving forward, especially from Christmas through January 10th, looks conducive for more of the same.
  19. That model run ran 5 days before the storm. Rule of thumb... you never want to be in the jackpot With a Miller a 4 to 5 days out. Nine times out of 10, the storm is coming north. Don’t get me wrong, I was rooting for this too. Just never seemed realistic given the time of year. This had the interior written all over it. This was a classic pre winter nor’easter. this run also depicted the 850 low closed to our south, with NE winds. That Never materialized. We were an 850 low closing away from seeing 12-24 area wide
  20. How’s it looking up in Vermont? You getting pummeled?
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