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jayyy

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Everything posted by jayyy

  1. We need heavy returns pronto, before we lost the column entirely.
  2. Come on baby. Radar is blossoming over Maryland. Let’s get these rates back up. Rain / snow / mix line is very close by.
  3. Wrong.. I said the roads are not covered. I said grass, car tops, and sidewalks. Some of you guys really are dumb as nails. And far too emotional over weather. Sleet with flakes mixed in - 33 degrees
  4. Good eyes. lol I’m mocking the clowns on here who obsessed over sticking and temps. Rates = sticking. Doesn’t matter if it’s 50 the day before.
  5. Moderate snow. Humongous flakes. Sticking to all surfaces. Side Roads will be caving soon.
  6. Heavy snow. Sticking to cars trees and sidewalks beginning to cave. LMAO at the “it won’t stick bc it was too warm” crowd.
  7. No it hasn’t. It literally just started in Maryland. You all need to chill out.
  8. Ugh. This is killing me. Models are all over the place regarding the boundary line. Still.
  9. Negative. The Mets logo is in the upper left corner NYNJPAweather - Steve D
  10. CWG is also mainly concerned with dc and it’s suburbs. I wouldn’t be overly thrilled in downtown dc or areas south either, so I understand the tone. I, on the other hand, live in between I 70 and 108, and have a much better “boom” chance, being NE of DC. I know my area and these marginal storms. As places like east Catonsville and Baltimore are seeing slop, reisterstown pikesville West EC and points N are seeing appreciable snow. 10 miles means everything here. QPF near Baltimore and it’s suburbs will also be higher than SW areas of the forum.
  11. We look at climo and run with it. Baltimore city will have issues. White rain as they say. Anyone near and north of i 70 and far northern VA should fair well. Precip rates will be there to overcome marginal temps
  12. Looking at it again...I actually think they only need to add Leesburg and it’s county, and the rest of MoCo and HoCo. Those 3 snowfall maps are nearly identical.
  13. And lastly... the HRDPS. I seriously think they need to extend WSW SE.
  14. RGEM also on board for Baltimore and NoVa.
  15. FV3 looks tasty. You’ll approve. 6+ for both you and I
  16. It’s 36 here. DP 28. Not terribly warm.... get some precip here and we’re down to 33 easy. We’ll be alright. Some models do hint at rain to start if it’s very light in nature. Well flip the moment we get appreciable returns overhead.
  17. Newer hi res models continue to be colder / wetter. FV-3 is snowier than the GFS. RGEM and HRDPS are also very snowy. Here is the 500 mb look at 24 hours on the fv3. Not too shabby. A low exiting the NC/VA border and heading NE typically is a great sign. Marginal air or not.
  18. Hoping for a solid snowfall here in west Ellicott City
  19. Come on baby, just another 20 miles SE
  20. Come on 6z NAM.... do us a solid. It is nucking futs that while models overall agree on what this storm will do, there is still a range of 2-9” on various models for Baltimore city. It’s THAT close. 25 miles in either direction means the world for dc and even more so Baltimore. That rain snow line may very well hug I 95 if rates are as intense as the RGEM is advertising. Anybody located JUST west of that line, look out. There is going to be a solid Deform band. I truly hope it is a @Bob Chill , HoCo / MoCo death band. Well need it to get 6+ totals. Ratios will likely only be 6-8:1 in light to moderate snow with temps hovering around freezing
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