jayyy

850 low never closed off, allowing warm air to scream north. It’s early winter, barely below freezing, with relatively warm ocean waters compared to deep winter. If we had a closed 850 low south of here, this was an easy 12+ area wide

That ULL catches the coastal quick enough and I think our area sees an additional 3” or so

we love when you talk dirty. Thank you for the breakdown. I hope so! I’m dead smack in that area

Dark sky says moderate to heavy snow between 10 and 2. It nailed this storm (6-8” forecast)

Bring it

7” here as well. Solid 5-8” call

I’m thinking a line from walkersville to thurmont and points NE have a shot - albeit small - at a few inches if the stars (column cooling & precip) align. Think the far NW crew may just be too far west with a low moving away from the area and south of 70 in Howard / Baltimore counties is probably too far south for any meaningful QPF. backend snow rarely pans out ... BUT it definitely can from time to time. Experienced my fair share of backend thumps growing up in the near NW suburbs of NYC. Places 15-20 mins north of me in Bear mountain and points NNW would see all snow 12+“ from a nor’easter - meanwhile we’d see a few inches on the front end, go to sleet / IR at the height as the low passed by offshore, and end as snow as the low pulled away south of Long Island. Granted they are in a better location up there for this to occur, but it can definitely happen here as well.

LOVE that you guys did well over in N BalCo! Congrats on the 7

My fellow weenie / brother down in olney off 108 said the same. My folks on the other hand... 24 and heavy snow - expecting 12-16” 30 mins NW of NYC. I’m not not jealous.

No worries. You’ll likely wake up to a white ground

Please (it won’t) verify. 4” contour runs through my house in west carroll

Winds have begun to shif back to the NNE instead of the SE winds we saw this afternoon. Definitely more snow than sleet falling right now here 5 miles N of Union bridge station

This is why we pretty much don’t ever want to be in the jackpot 4-5 days out with this setup. 9 times out of 10, a Miller A ends up being further north and warmer at 850-925 than progged. DC jackpot 4/5 days out = PHL to NYC special a lot of the time Show me a Miller A potential with the jackpot in Charlottesville at day 4-5 and we’ll all be cooking in this forum. I really wanted a foot.... but Damn it I saw 2+“ per hour rates in mid December in Maryland and got just shy of 8” to show for it. No complaints here. One happy weenie.

31 degrees / windchill of 19 15-20 mph gusts - its crispy out there Currently back to mainly snow, though. Albeit light

Wonder who

4-6” more inches for @clskinsfan, 3-4” over by my neck of the woods is my call on the backside as the pivot. Someone’s going to get raked by that vort

29 with very light snow / sleet Looking good for a back edge 2-3” as it pivots through 7.25” total. Not too shabby. 6” was my bar.

It’s not. He’s just stuck in 1940

Gooooood! Let us lull until we get into the colder sector of the storm. Reports of precip changing back over to snow in the west Roanoke, christiansburg area. Encouraging to see.

How are you fairing over there @psuhoffman? We’ve got pingers mixed in here in Union bridge, as well as over in Emmitsburg Hope we can cash on that backend hoopla

Confirmed Pingers, yes. Pingers began mixing here to your ESE about 25 mins ago and you’re about 1-2 degrees colder up in Emmitsburg than here. My son lives in Thurmont and he said it’s about 80/20 snow

You don’t want fat flakes. That means the sleets coming. Take all of the dust you can brother.

Excited to hear some of the blizzard reports from our northern crew this evening. 30-40 mph winds with heavy snow. - delicious. was hoping my folks in New York would get the ole shaft... nope. 12-18” with blizzard conditions is a lock there

Concur. I’m at 7” just to your west

Yep. It is.